GS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GS - Goldman Sachs Group Inc.
$808.81
5.92 (0.74%)
▲
5d:
-2.7%
30d:
-5.91%
90d:
-10.83%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 13, 2026
13d
Smart Money Distribution
GS is up 3.4% this week, but smart money is buying puts. Top strike: $735 2026-04-17 with 1,604 OI. Put ratio: 67% View Scanner →
Strength: 3.4/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: GS trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -5.3% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: GS trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -5.3% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$1369.77
Based on 7.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$850.52
4.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GS is currently trading at $808.81, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $801.04 to $886.43. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 12.3) compared to its historical average (14.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 17.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GS is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $790.59. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $959.75 (+19.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GS is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $790.59. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $959.75 (+19.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$801.04 -
$886.43
Company Quality Score
60/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($959.75)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$801.04 -
$886.43
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$790.59
Resistance Level
$854.75
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.33
Wall Street Target
$959.75
(+19.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
15.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
17.3%
Profit Margin
28.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.3 vs 14.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$760.34
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$720.04
(-10%)
3-Year Target
$681.88
(-15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→15)
$802.18
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 11.5%)
$2025.21
(+152%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.3, Growth: 11.5%)
$1114.36
(+39%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.5, Growth: 11.5%)
$947.21
(+18%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.85 | Current EPS (TTM): $51.33
Bull Case
$1135.65
(+37%)
Analyst growth 26.9%, PE expands to 17.4
Base Case
$1032.41
(+24%)
Market implied 26.9%, PE stable at 15.9
Bear Case
$553.20
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.3 to 14.5
Stabilization Target:
$944.54
(+17.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+17.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 1:52 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:52 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:52 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
19
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
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SELL
2704 shares
2026-02-11
John F.W. Rogers
SELL
13151 shares
2026-02-11
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1092 shares
2026-02-09
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's GS price and gamma walls.
