GS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GS - Goldman Sachs Group Inc.
$863.04
2.83 (0.33%)
▲
5d:
+4.91%
30d:
-0.49%
90d:
-1.82%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 13, 2026
10d
Smart Money Distribution
GS is up 3.4% this week, but smart money is buying puts. Top strike: $735 2026-04-17 with 1,604 OI. Put ratio: 67% View Scanner →
Strength: 3.4/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: GS shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.0% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: GS shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.0% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$1370.53
Based on 7.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$850.99
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GS is currently trading at $863.04, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $802.71 to $876.81. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.2) is in line with its historical norms (14.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 17.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GS is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $870.20. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: GS has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $959.75 (+11.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GS is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $870.20. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: GS has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $959.75 (+11.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range
$802.71 -
$876.81
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
73.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($959.75)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$802.71 -
$876.81
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$797.78
Resistance Level
$870.20
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Apr 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.20
Wall Street Target
$959.75
(+11.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
15.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
17.3%
Profit Margin
28.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.2 vs 14.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$834.40
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$809.37
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$785.09
(-9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→14)
$856.65
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 11.8%)
$2035.66
(+137%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.2, Growth: 11.8%)
$1202.00
(+40%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.2, Growth: 11.8%)
$1021.70
(+19%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.85 | Current EPS (TTM): $51.33
Bull Case
$1135.65
(+37%)
Analyst growth 26.9%, PE expands to 17.4
Base Case
$1032.41
(+24%)
Market implied 26.9%, PE stable at 15.9
Bear Case
$553.20
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.2 to 14.4
Stabilization Target:
$938.62
(+9.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+9.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 02, 2026 4:52 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:52 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:52 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
19
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
John F.W. Rogers
SELL
2704 shares
2026-02-11
John F.W. Rogers
SELL
13151 shares
2026-02-11
Alex S Golten
SELL
1092 shares
2026-02-09
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Advanced GS Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's GS price and gamma walls.
