HBM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HBM - Hudbay Minerals Inc.
$23.68
-3.23 (-12.00%)
ā¼
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 20, 2026
20d
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2 traders called HBM this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
š HOLD: HBM trades at premium valuation expecting 7.8% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
š HOLD: HBM trades at premium valuation expecting 7.8% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$41.74
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$25.92
8.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HBM is currently trading at $23.68, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $20.13 to $24.75. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 17.9) compared to its historical average (14.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 7.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HBM is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $22.02, while resistance sits at $28.74. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 12.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: HBM has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HBM is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $22.02, while resistance sits at $28.74. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 12.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: HBM has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range
$20.13 -
$24.75
Company Quality Score
66/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
66.7%
Protect Your Profits
Holding HBM? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-12.0%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($26.90)
- NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 7.8% growth expectation is conservative given 344% recent growth
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -5.2% 5-day decline
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$20.13 -
$24.75
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$22.02
Resistance Level
$28.74
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.95
Wall Street Target
$26.90
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-28.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
343.5%
Profit Margin
22.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+7.8% premium
PE vs Historical
18.0 vs 14.3
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+7.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$29.01
(+8%)
2-Year Target
$31.27
(+16%)
3-Year Target
$33.71
(+25%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18ā14)
PE COMPRESSION
$26.85
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 71.9%)
$112.81
(+319%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.0, Growth: 71.9%)
$90.82
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.3, Growth: 71.9%)
$72.34
(+169%)
š
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (23x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 22.62 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.16
Bull Case
$37.30
(+39%)
Analyst growth 29.2%, PE expands to 24.9
Base Case
$33.91
(+26%)
Market implied 29.2%, PE stable at 22.6
Bear Case
$17.84
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 30, 2026 4:05 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:05 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:05 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HBM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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