HE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HE - Hawaiian Electric Industries, Inc.
$13.54
0.15 (1.12%)
▲
5d:
-12.19%
30d:
-10.63%
90d:
-16.93%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 08, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
HE is down 12.2% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $20 2026-06-18 with 1,893 OI. Call ratio: 73% View Scanner →
Strength: 8.4/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: HE is down 12.2% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: HE is down 12.2% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$22.33
Based on 6.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$13.87
2.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HE is currently trading at $13.54, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $14.45 to $15.76. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 11.8) compared to its historical average (14.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 17.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HE is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $13.15. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HE is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $13.15. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$14.45 -
$15.76
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
Protect Your Profits
Holding HE? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($13.75)
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -12.2% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$14.45 -
$15.76
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$13.15
Resistance Level
$15.63
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.81
Wall Street Target
$13.75
(+1.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
17.6%
Profit Margin
4.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.8 vs 14.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$12.80
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$12.09
(-11%)
3-Year Target
$11.43
(-16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→14)
$13.54
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 9.7%)
$33.35
(+146%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.8, Growth: 9.7%)
$17.87
(+32%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.0, Growth: 9.7%)
$15.19
(+12%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.34 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.73
Bull Case
$23.13
(+71%)
Analyst growth 57.0%, PE expands to 20.2
Base Case
$21.03
(+55%)
Market implied 57.0%, PE stable at 18.3
Bear Case
$9.11
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.8 to 14.0
Stabilization Target:
$16.05
(+18.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+18.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 14, 2026 7:37 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:37 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:37 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced HE Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's HE price and gamma walls.
