HEI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HEI - HEICO Corporation
$266.04
-7.35 (-2.69%)
▼
5d:
-4.87%
30d:
-16.72%
90d:
-20.55%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 27, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jun 02, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: HEI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: HEI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$234.23
Based on 8.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$145.44
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HEI is currently trading at $266.04, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $278.78 to $330.98. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 43.2) compared to its historical average (53.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 12.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HEI is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $270.15. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: HEI has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $371.50 (+35.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HEI is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $270.15. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: HEI has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $371.50 (+35.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$278.78 -
$330.98
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
50th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
59.6%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 50th percentile)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 35.9% below Wall St target ($371.50)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$278.78 -
$330.98
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$11.03
(4.1%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$270.15
Resistance Level
$295.63
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Mar 27, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
43.19
Wall Street Target
$371.50
(+35.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
14.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
12.5%
Profit Margin
15.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
43.2 vs 53.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$254.53
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$236.96
(-13%)
3-Year Target
$220.61
(-19%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 43→54)
$273.77
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 43.2, Growth: 12.4%)
$388.23
(+42%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.4, Growth: 12.4%)
$201.34
(-26%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 12.4%)
$171.14
(-37%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (54x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (43x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 54.38 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.06
Bull Case
$378.62
(+35%)
Analyst growth 25.1%, PE expands to 59.8
Base Case
$344.20
(+23%)
Market implied 25.1%, PE stable at 54.4
Bear Case
$187.11
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 46.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 43.2 to 53.6
Stabilization Target:
$339.27
(+24.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+24.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 10:21 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:21 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:21 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HEI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
7
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Mark H Hildebrandt
BUY
400 shares
2025-10-21
Adolfo Henriques
BUY
676 shares
2025-10-10
Alan Schriesheim
BUY
672 shares
2025-10-10
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