HGBL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HGBL - HERITAGE GLOBAL INC
$1.37
-0.02 (-1.44%)
▼
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Mar 12, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: HGBL shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.2% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: HGBL shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.2% growth. Moderate conviction.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HGBL is currently trading at $1.37, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $1.26 to $1.40. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.3) is in line with its historical norms (8.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.2% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HGBL is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $1.33. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: HGBL has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $3.67 (+163.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HGBL is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $1.33. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: HGBL has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $3.67 (+163.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range
$1.26 -
$1.40
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
MODERATE
Confidence Score
74.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: Trading 163.8% below Wall St target ($3.67)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.2% growth with 9.1% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$1.26 -
$1.40
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$1.33
Resistance Level
$1.50
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.34
Wall Street Target
$3.67
(+163.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-43.1%
Profit Margin
6.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.2% premium
PE vs Historical
8.3 vs 8.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$1.41
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$1.42
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$1.44
(+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→8)
PE COMPRESSION
$1.38
(-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 31.6%)
$8.47
(+509%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.3, Growth: 31.6%)
$3.17
(+128%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.1, Growth: 31.6%)
$2.69
(+94%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.50 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.08
Bull Case
$3.08
(+125%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 19.3
Base Case
$2.80
(+104%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 17.5
Bear Case
$0.95
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 31, 2026 4:40 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:40 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:40 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HGBL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced HGBL Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's HGBL price and gamma walls.
