HII Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HII - Huntington Ingalls Industries, Inc.
$395.72
2.40 (0.61%)
▲
5d:
+2.84%
30d:
-9.45%
90d:
+16.36%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 07, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
HII is down 6.4% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $450 2026-06-18 with 3,436 OI. Call ratio: 94% View Scanner →
Strength: 7.6/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: HII shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.2% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: HII shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.2% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$691.24
Based on 10.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$429.21
7.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HII is currently trading at $395.72, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $394.74 to $438.44. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 19.4) is in line with its historical norms (20.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 28.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HII is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $366.48, while resistance sits at $423.09.
Market Sentiment: HII has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HII is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $366.48, while resistance sits at $423.09.
Market Sentiment: HII has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$394.74 -
$438.44
Company Quality Score
45/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($404.90)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$394.74 -
$438.44
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$25.85
(6.5%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$366.48
Resistance Level
$423.09
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Apr 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.36
Wall Street Target
$404.90
(+2.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
15.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
28.1%
Profit Margin
4.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
19.4 vs 20.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$384.67
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$376.20
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$367.93
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→21)
$393.34
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 17.1%)
$729.08
(+85%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.4, Growth: 17.1%)
$631.64
(+61%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.5, Growth: 17.1%)
$536.89
(+37%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (27x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 26.53 | Current EPS (TTM): $15.38
Bull Case
$592.72
(+50%)
Analyst growth 32.1%, PE expands to 29.2
Base Case
$538.84
(+36%)
Market implied 32.1%, PE stable at 26.5
Bear Case
$277.43
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 22.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 19.4 to 20.7
Stabilization Target:
$420.48
(+6.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+6.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 02, 2026 10:48 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:48 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:48 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HII showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
6
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Chad N Boudreaux
SELL
4400 shares
2026-03-05
Eric D Chewning
SELL
1700 shares
2026-03-04
Chad N Boudreaux
SELL
787 shares
2025-11-26
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Advanced HII Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's HII price and gamma walls.
