HL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HL - Hecla Mining Company
$16.33
0.74 (4.75%)
▲
5d:
+7.79%
30d:
-8.26%
90d:
-14.86%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 6.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: HL appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -10.5% annual earnings decline despite 952% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: HL appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -10.5% annual earnings decline despite 952% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$44.33
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$27.52
40.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HL is currently trading at $16.33, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $14.90 to $17.07. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 13.6) compared to its historical average (18.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 10.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 951.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HL is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $13.80, while resistance sits at $17.93. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: HL has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $25.19 (+54.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HL is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $13.80, while resistance sits at $17.93. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: HL has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $25.19 (+54.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$14.90 -
$17.07
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
88.1%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.7%)
- BULLISH: Trading 54.3% below Wall St target ($25.19)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$14.90 -
$17.07
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$13.81
Resistance Level
$17.93
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.56
Wall Street Target
$25.19
(+54.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
100.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
951.5%
Profit Margin
16.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-10.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.6 vs 18.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-10.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$14.70
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$13.23
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$11.90
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→19)
$16.59
(+2%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 40.0%)
$71.95
(+341%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.6, Growth: 40.0%)
$44.79
(+174%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.5, Growth: 40.0%)
$38.07
(+133%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (23x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 22.59 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.69
Bull Case
$29.93
(+83%)
Analyst growth 74.6%, PE expands to 24.9
Base Case
$27.21
(+67%)
Market implied 74.6%, PE stable at 22.6
Bear Case
$10.60
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.6 to 18.9
Stabilization Target:
$22.76
(+39.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+39.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 4:34 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:34 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:34 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Kurt Allen
SELL
52219 shares
2026-01-06
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