HL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HL - Hecla Mining Company
$19.55
-1.50 (-7.15%)
▼
5d:
+8.16%
30d:
+2.22%
90d:
-6.44%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 05, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
HL is down 4.4% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $25 2026-06-18 with 34,409 OI. Call ratio: 68% View Scanner →
Strength: 4.0/10
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4 traders called HL this week
75% bullish • 1 bearish
75% bullish • 1 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: HL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: HL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$50.62
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$31.43
37.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HL is currently trading at $19.55, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $17.97 to $19.88. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 16.7) compared to its historical average (20.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 951.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HL is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $17.03, while resistance sits at $21.30. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 7.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: HL has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $24.82 (+17.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HL is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $17.03, while resistance sits at $21.30. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 7.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: HL has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $24.82 (+17.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$17.97 -
$19.88
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
54.8%
Protect Your Profits
Holding HL? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-7.1%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($24.82)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$17.97 -
$19.88
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$17.03
Resistance Level
$21.30
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.68
Wall Street Target
$24.83
(+17.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
100.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
951.5%
Profit Margin
16.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
16.7 vs 20.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$19.62
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$18.28
(-13%)
3-Year Target
$17.04
(-19%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→21)
$21.04
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 36.7%)
$71.00
(+237%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.7, Growth: 36.7%)
$53.74
(+155%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.2, Growth: 36.7%)
$45.68
(+117%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (30x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 29.96 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.69
Bull Case
$41.58
(+98%)
Analyst growth 82.9%, PE expands to 33.0
Base Case
$37.80
(+80%)
Market implied 82.9%, PE stable at 30.0
Bear Case
$14.06
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 25.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.7 to 20.6
Stabilization Target:
$26.00
(+23.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+23.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 14, 2026 3:33 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:33 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:33 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Kurt Allen
SELL
52219 shares
2026-01-06
David C Sienko
SELL
207553 shares
2025-12-17
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Advanced HL Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's HL price and gamma walls.
