HLX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HLX - Helix Energy Solutions Group, Inc.
$8.54
0.03 (0.35%)
▲
5d:
-2.29%
30d:
-12.14%
90d:
-8.86%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 22, 2026
16d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: HLX shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: HLX shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$20.95
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$13.01
34.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HLX is currently trading at $8.54, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $8.80 to $9.70. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 15.3) compared to its historical average (19.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HLX is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $9.19. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: HLX has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.50 (+46.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HLX is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $9.19. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: HLX has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.50 (+46.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$8.80 -
$9.70
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 46.4% below Wall St target ($12.50)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$8.80 -
$9.70
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$9.19
Resistance Level
$9.91
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.32
Wall Street Target
$12.50
(+46.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-56.9%
Profit Margin
1.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.3 vs 19.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$7.90
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$7.31
(-14%)
3-Year Target
$6.76
(-21%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→19)
$8.52
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 83.8%)
$40.98
(+380%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.3, Growth: 83.8%)
$28.82
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.0, Growth: 83.8%)
$24.50
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (85x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 85.10 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.10
Bull Case
$18.72
(+119%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 93.6
Base Case
$17.02
(+99%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 85.1
Bear Case
$5.79
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 72.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.3 to 19.3
Stabilization Target:
$10.76
(+26.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+26.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 05, 2026 7:12 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:12 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:12 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HLX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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