HLX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HLX - Helix Energy Solutions Group, Inc.
$10.47
0.42 (4.18%)
▲
5d:
+5.02%
30d:
+14.3%
90d:
+24.79%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 18, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 22, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: HLX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: HLX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$21.71
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$13.48
22.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HLX is currently trading at $10.47, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.48 to $10.19. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 18.8) is in line with its historical norms (20.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HLX is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $10.54. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: HLX has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.50 (+19.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HLX is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $10.54. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: HLX has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.50 (+19.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$9.48 -
$10.19
Company Quality Score
60/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
64.3%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.2%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($12.50)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$9.48 -
$10.19
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$9.43
Resistance Level
$10.54
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 18, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.78
Wall Street Target
$12.50
(+19.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-56.9%
Profit Margin
1.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
18.8 vs 20.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$10.25
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$10.03
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$9.82
(-6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→20)
$10.46
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 83.8%)
$41.58
(+297%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.8, Growth: 83.8%)
$35.34
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.0, Growth: 83.8%)
$30.04
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (114x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 113.64 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.09
Bull Case
$12.64
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 119.3
Base Case
$10.47
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 113.6
Bear Case
$8.01
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 102.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 18.8 to 20.0
Stabilization Target:
$11.15
(+6.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+6.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 18, 2026 8:27 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:27 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:27 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HLX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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