HNI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HNI - HNI Corporation
$32.47
-0.95 (-2.84%)
▼
5d:
-7.78%
30d:
-25.01%
90d:
-22.76%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 06, 2026
29d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: HNI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: HNI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$82.06
Based on 10.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$50.95
36.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HNI is currently trading at $32.47, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $34.43 to $42.64. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 6.7) compared to its historical average (10.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 13.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HNI is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $32.16. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $72.00 (+121.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HNI is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $32.16. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $72.00 (+121.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$34.43 -
$42.64
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 121.7% below Wall St target ($72.00)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -7.8% 5-day decline
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$34.43 -
$42.64
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$32.16
Resistance Level
$37.00
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Apr 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.73
Wall Street Target
$72.00
(+121.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
38.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-10.2%
Profit Margin
1.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-13.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
6.7 vs 10.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-13.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$29.22
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$26.30
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$23.67
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→10)
$36.23
(+12%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.6, Growth: 17.3%)
$160.29
(+394%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.7, Growth: 17.3%)
$52.44
(+62%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.7, Growth: 17.3%)
$44.57
(+37%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (31x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 30.62 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.11
Bull Case
$74.78
(+104%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 33.7
Base Case
$67.98
(+86%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 30.6
Bear Case
$23.11
(-37%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 26.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.7 to 10.3
Stabilization Target:
$49.70
(+53.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+53.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 06, 2026 7:39 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:39 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:39 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HNI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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