HNI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HNI - HNI Corporation
$47.79
0.47 (0.99%)
▲
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 19, 2026
18d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: HNI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.8% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: HNI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.8% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$67.27
Based on 9.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$41.77
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HNI is currently trading at $47.79, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $42.78 to $47.14. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.7) is in line with its historical norms (10.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.8% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HNI is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $48.36. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: HNI has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $70.75 (+49.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HNI is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $48.36. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: HNI has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $70.75 (+49.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$42.78 -
$47.14
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
50th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
66.2%
Protect Your Profits
HNI is technically overbought (RSI 71). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 50th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 49.5% below Wall St target ($70.75)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.8% growth with 1.7% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$42.78 -
$47.14
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$2.29
(4.8%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$45.88
Resistance Level
$48.36
Current Trend
Sideways
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.66
Wall Street Target
$70.75
(+49.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-10.2%
Profit Margin
5.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.8% premium
PE vs Historical
11.7 vs 10.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$48.64
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$50.01
(+6%)
3-Year Target
$51.41
(+9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$47.19
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 14.4%)
$135.43
(+186%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.7, Growth: 14.4%)
$70.78
(+50%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.9, Growth: 14.4%)
$60.17
(+27%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.88 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.98
Bull Case
$70.93
(+48%)
Analyst growth 36.2%, PE expands to 17.5
Base Case
$64.48
(+35%)
Market implied 36.2%, PE stable at 15.9
Bear Case
$32.18
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 31, 2026 2:51 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:51 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:51 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HNI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced HNI Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's HNI price and gamma walls.
