HOOD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HOOD - Robinhood Markets, Inc. Class A Common Stock
$68.90
-1.21 (-1.73%)
▼
5d:
-2.06%
30d:
-16.19%
90d:
-39.08%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 29, 2026
26d
Smart Money Distribution
HOOD is up 6.4% this week, but smart money is buying puts. Top strike: $70 2026-05-15 with 8,635 OI. Put ratio: 61% View Scanner →
Strength: 4.3/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: HOOD trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -12.2% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: HOOD trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -12.2% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$118.61
Based on 11.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$73.65
6.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HOOD is currently trading at $68.90, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $70.00 to $78.64. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 25.7) compared to its historical average (38.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 12.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HOOD is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $63.52, while resistance sits at $74.59.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $117.79 (+68.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HOOD is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $63.52, while resistance sits at $74.59.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $117.79 (+68.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$70.00 -
$78.64
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 68.0% below Wall St target ($117.79)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$70.00 -
$78.64
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$63.52
Resistance Level
$74.59
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Apr 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
25.66
Wall Street Target
$117.79
(+68.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
26.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-34.5%
Profit Margin
42.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-12.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
25.7 vs 38.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-12.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$63.10
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$56.79
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$51.11
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 26→38)
$75.70
(+8%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 25.7, Growth: 19.6%)
$119.95
(+71%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.4, Growth: 19.6%)
$104.50
(+49%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 19.6%)
$88.82
(+27%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (35x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (26x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 34.58 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.05
Bull Case
$103.39
(+43%)
Analyst growth 32.6%, PE expands to 38.0
Base Case
$93.99
(+30%)
Market implied 32.6%, PE stable at 34.6
Bear Case
$48.21
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 29.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 25.7 to 38.0
Stabilization Target:
$103.85
(+48.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+48.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 02, 2026 4:03 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:03 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:03 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HOOD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
4
Buys
16
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Shiv Verma
SELL
5438 shares
2026-03-16
Daniel Martin Gallagher …
SELL
10000 shares
2026-03-03
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-02-24
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Advanced HOOD Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's HOOD price and gamma walls.
