HTLD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HTLD - Heartland Express Inc
$10.51
0.11 (1.06%)
▲
5d:
+1.25%
30d:
-4.54%
90d:
+14.36%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 29, 2026
26d
Smart Money Distribution
HTLD is up 5.8% this week, but smart money is buying puts. Top strike: $7.5 2026-06-18 with 24 OI. Put ratio: 100% View Scanner →
Strength: 7.9/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: HTLD shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: HTLD shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$14.04
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$8.72
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HTLD is currently trading at $10.51, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.70 to $10.84. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 26.2) is in line with its historical norms (26.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HTLD is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $10.74. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: HTLD has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HTLD is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $10.74. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: HTLD has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$9.70 -
$10.84
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
46th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
76.9%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 46th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($10.00)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$9.70 -
$10.84
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$1.12
(10.7%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$9.38
Resistance Level
$10.75
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Apr 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
26.22
Wall Street Target
$10.00
(-4.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-26.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-66.1%
Profit Margin
-6.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
26.2 vs 26.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$10.43
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$10.34
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$10.26
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 26→27)
$10.53
(+0%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 26.2 to 26.9
Stabilization Target:
$10.78
(+2.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+2.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 02, 2026 4:12 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:12 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:12 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HTLD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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