HWKN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HWKN - Hawkins Inc
$151.62
-0.50 (-0.33%)
▼
5d:
+7.73%
30d:
+1.69%
90d:
+3.27%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 13, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: HWKN shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly high pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: HWKN shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly high pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$136.06
Based on 5.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$84.48
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HWKN is currently trading at $151.62, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $140.88 to $151.67. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 36.3) is in line with its historical norms (33.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.9% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HWKN is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $155.33. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: HWKN has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (8th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $188.00 (+24.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HWKN is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $155.33. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: HWKN has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (8th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $188.00 (+24.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range
$140.88 -
$151.67
Company Quality Score
64/100
(BUY)
Options IV Signal
8th percentile
(COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 8th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 24.0% below Wall St target ($188.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.9% growth with 7.9% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$140.88 -
$151.67
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$7.15
(4.7%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$128.75
Resistance Level
$155.33
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
36.32
Wall Street Target
$188.00
(+24.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-4.2%
Profit Margin
7.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.9% premium
PE vs Historical
36.3 vs 33.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$156.02
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$160.54
(+6%)
3-Year Target
$165.20
(+9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 36→33)
PE COMPRESSION
$151.48
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 36.3, Growth: 6.9%)
$185.29
(+22%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.4, Growth: 6.9%)
$114.04
(-25%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 6.9%)
$96.93
(-36%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 33.57 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.94
Bull Case
$154.19
(+10%)
Analyst growth 6.0%, PE expands to 36.9
Base Case
$140.17
(0%)
Market implied 6.0%, PE stable at 33.6
Bear Case
$89.95
(-36%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 28.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 31, 2026 7:10 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:10 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:10 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HWKN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
James A Faulconbridge
BUY
1500 shares
2026-02-04
Drew M Grahek
BUY
1587 shares
2025-11-03
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Advanced HWKN Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's HWKN price and gamma walls.
