HXL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HXL - Hexcel Corporation
$82.81
-1.75 (-2.07%)
▼
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Apr 20, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: HXL shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.1% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: HXL shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.1% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$110.53
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$68.63
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HXL is currently trading at $82.81, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $76.68 to $83.16. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 37.2) compared to its historical average (33.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.1% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HXL is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $80.08, while resistance sits at $88.00.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HXL is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $80.08, while resistance sits at $88.00.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range
$76.68 -
$83.16
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
63.8%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($81.07)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 4.1% growth with -0.1% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$76.68 -
$83.16
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$80.08
Resistance Level
$88.00
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
37.25
Wall Street Target
$81.07
(-4.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-47.1%
Profit Margin
3.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.1% premium
PE vs Historical
37.3 vs 33.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$88.03
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$91.64
(+8%)
3-Year Target
$95.39
(+13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 37→33)
PE COMPRESSION
$84.52
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 37.2, Growth: 31.1%)
$190.51
(+125%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 31.1%)
$114.06
(+35%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 31.1%)
$96.95
(+15%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 32.47 | Forward EPS (Implied): $2.55
Bull Case
$99.99
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 34.1
Base Case
$82.81
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 32.5
Bear Case
$63.35
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 29.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 30, 2026 6:02 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:02 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:02 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HXL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Gina Fitzsimons
SELL
911 shares
2025-09-02
Thierry Merlot
SELL
8897 shares
2025-08-28
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's HXL price and gamma walls.
