HZO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HZO - MarineMax, Inc.
$26.40
0.61 (2.35%)
▲
5d:
+0.32%
30d:
-13.46%
90d:
+7.87%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 27, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 23, 2026
23d
Get Alerted When HZO Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: HZO shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: HZO shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$50.09
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$31.10
15.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HZO is currently trading at $26.39, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $25.57 to $29.23. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.4) is in line with its historical norms (15.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HZO is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $24.22, while resistance sits at $27.44.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (23th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $31.86 (+23.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HZO is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $24.22, while resistance sits at $27.44.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (23th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $31.86 (+23.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$25.57 -
$29.23
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
23th percentile
(COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
84.2%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 23th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 23.5% below Wall St target ($31.86)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.0% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$25.57 -
$29.23
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$1.92
(7.3%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$24.22
Resistance Level
$27.44
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 27, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.44
Wall Street Target
$31.86
(+23.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
100.0%
Profit Margin
-2.5%
PE vs Historical
15.4 vs 15.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$25.79
(0%)
2-Year Target
$25.79
(0%)
3-Year Target
$25.79
(0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→15)
PE COMPRESSION
$25.72
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 122.0%)
$126.26
(+390%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.4, Growth: 122.0%)
$87.04
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.1, Growth: 122.0%)
$73.99
(+187%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 10:27 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:27 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:27 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is HZO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Specialty Retail Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Specialty Retail by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
TSCO
Tractor Supply Company |
HOLD
33 analysts |
$58 | 58 HOLD |
|
ULTA
Ulta Beauty Inc |
HOLD
28 analysts |
$680 | 58 HOLD |
|
BBY
Best Buy Co. Inc |
HOLD
29 analysts |
$74 | 58 HOLD |
|
MNSO
Miniso Group Holding Ltd |
STRONG BUY
18 analysts |
$27 | 57 HOLD |
|
DKS
Dick’s Sporting Goods Inc |
HOLD
26 analysts |
$235 | 57 HOLD |
