IAG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
IAG - IAMGold Corporation
$18.82
1.32 (7.54%)
▲
5d:
+10.58%
30d:
-22.39%
90d:
+14.2%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: IAG shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.4% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: IAG shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.4% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$40.59
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$25.20
25.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: IAG is currently trading at $18.82, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $17.83 to $23.01. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.4) is in line with its historical norms (9.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 362.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IAG is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $18.52. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 7.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: IAG has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $27.30 (+45.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IAG is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $18.52. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 7.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: IAG has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $27.30 (+45.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$17.83 -
$23.01
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+7.5%)
- BULLISH: Trading 45.1% below Wall St target ($27.30)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$17.83 -
$23.01
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$15.78
Resistance Level
$18.53
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.40
Wall Street Target
$27.30
(+45.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
131.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
362.0%
Profit Margin
23.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.4 vs 9.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$18.18
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$17.56
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$16.96
(-10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→9)
$18.79
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 91.4%)
$51.48
(+174%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.4, Growth: 91.4%)
$19.34
(+3%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.1, Growth: 91.4%)
$16.44
(-13%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.10 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.14
Bull Case
$33.16
(+97%)
Analyst growth 87.6%, PE expands to 15.5
Base Case
$30.15
(+79%)
Market implied 87.6%, PE stable at 14.1
Bear Case
$10.93
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.4 to 9.3
Stabilization Target:
$20.84
(+10.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+10.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 01, 2026 1:02 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:02 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:02 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is IAG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
David Stewart Smith
SELL
31000 shares
2026-02-27
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