IBKR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
IBKR - Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. Class A Common Stock
$74.88
-0.78 (-1.03%)
▼
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Apr 14, 2026
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3 traders called IBKR this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: IBKR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.5% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: IBKR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.5% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$101.02
Based on 8.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$62.73
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: IBKR is currently trading at $74.88, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $67.04 to $75.21. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 27.6) is in line with its historical norms (28.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 26.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IBKR is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $70.79, while resistance sits at $78.80.
Market Sentiment: IBKR has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IBKR is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $70.79, while resistance sits at $78.80.
Market Sentiment: IBKR has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range
$67.04 -
$75.21
Company Quality Score
64/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
71.4%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($81.11)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$67.04 -
$75.21
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$70.79
Resistance Level
$78.80
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
27.65
Wall Street Target
$81.11
(+7.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
18.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
26.8%
Profit Margin
15.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
27.7 vs 28.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$75.28
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$74.91
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$74.53
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 28→28)
$75.74
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 27.7, Growth: 12.3%)
$107.11
(+42%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 12.3%)
$86.38
(+14%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 12.3%)
$73.43
(-3%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (34x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (28x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 33.99 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.22
Bull Case
$102.29
(+37%)
Analyst growth 23.3%, PE expands to 37.4
Base Case
$92.99
(+24%)
Market implied 23.3%, PE stable at 34.0
Bear Case
$51.31
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 28.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 27.7 to 28.1
Stabilization Target:
$76.89
(+1.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.6%
Last updated: January 31, 2026 12:41 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:41 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:41 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is IBKR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
15
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Paul Jonathan Brody
SELL
17058 shares
2025-09-26
Paul Jonathan Brody
SELL
14296 shares
2025-09-25
Paul Jonathan Brody
SELL
14391 shares
2025-09-24
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's IBKR price and gamma walls.
