IBKR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
IBKR - Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. Class A Common Stock
$63.55
-0.65 (-1.01%)
▼
5d:
-6.32%
30d:
-10.73%
90d:
-3.94%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 27, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 21, 2026
21d
Smart Money Accumulation
IBKR is down 3.0% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $72.5 2026-06-18 with 7,338 OI. Call ratio: 66% View Scanner →
Strength: 3.1/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: IBKR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: IBKR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$100.68
Based on 8.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$62.51
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: IBKR is currently trading at $63.55, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $66.44 to $72.42. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 23.4) compared to its historical average (27.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 30.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IBKR is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $64.49. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: IBKR has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $80.56 (+25.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IBKR is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $64.49. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: IBKR has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $80.56 (+25.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$66.44 -
$72.42
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding IBKR? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 25.5% below Wall St target ($80.56)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-6.3%) - monitor closely
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$66.44 -
$72.42
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$64.49
Resistance Level
$69.93
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Mar 27, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
23.44
Wall Street Target
$80.56
(+25.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
15.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
30.3%
Profit Margin
15.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
23.4 vs 27.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$61.25
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$58.43
(-9%)
3-Year Target
$55.74
(-13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 23→27)
$64.21
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 23.4, Growth: 12.1%)
$90.40
(+41%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.4, Growth: 12.1%)
$86.40
(+35%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 12.1%)
$73.44
(+14%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (29x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (23x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 29.49 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.22
Bull Case
$88.86
(+31%)
Analyst growth 23.4%, PE expands to 32.4
Base Case
$80.78
(+19%)
Market implied 23.4%, PE stable at 29.5
Bear Case
$44.52
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 25.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 23.4 to 27.0
Stabilization Target:
$73.96
(+15.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+15.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 10:27 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:27 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:27 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is IBKR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
12
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-02-24
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-02-05
Earl H Nemser
SELL
60200 shares
2026-01-27
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Advanced IBKR Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's IBKR price and gamma walls.
