Is ICE stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, ICE is currently a HOLD with low confidence. 📊 HOLD: ICE shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

What is the fair value of ICE stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for ICE to be between $163.58 and $173.60. The current price is $163.07.

What is the analyst price target for ICE?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for ICE is $191.86. This implies a potential upside of 17.7% from current levels.

ICE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

ICE - Intercontinental Exchange Inc.

SECURITY & COMMODITY BROKERS, DEALERS, EXCHANGES & SERVICES

$163.07

-10.11 (-5.84%) ▼

5d: -5.89%

30d: +1.93%

90d: +11.47%

HOLD

LOW Confidence

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Last Updated: February 3, 2026

Earnings: Feb 05, 2026 TODAY

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ICE shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 8.5%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$223.44

Based on 6.3% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$138.74

Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.0x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: ICE is currently trading at $163.07, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $163.58 to $173.60. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 21.7) is in line with its historical norms (22.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 24.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, ICE is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $158.83. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.8% recently.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $191.86 (+17.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD

Fair Price Range $163.58 - $173.60

Company Quality Score 46/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 72.4%

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All Signals

BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BEARISH: Downward momentum (-5.8%)
BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($191.86)
CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -5.9% 5-day decline

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $163.58 - $173.60

Current vs Fair Value OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $158.83

Resistance Level $176.05

Current Trend Uptrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 21.73

Wall Street Target $191.86 (+17.7%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 2.6%

Earnings Growth (YoY) 24.6%

Profit Margin 32.4%

Valuation Discount vs History -0.4% cheaper

PE vs Historical 21.7 vs 22.0 FAIR

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): -0.4% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $162.42 (0%)

2-Year Target $161.77 (-1%)

3-Year Target $161.12 (-1%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 22→22) $163.13 (0%)

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 22.3, Growth: 8.5%) $213.84 (+31%)

Base: (SPY PE: 21.7, Growth: 8.5%) $208.37 (+28%)

Bear: (PE: 18.5, Growth: 8.5%) $177.11 (+9%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (32x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (22x PE) as earnings recover.

Trailing PE: 31.54 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.49

Bull Case $260.40 (+60%)

Analyst growth 36.7%, PE expands to 34.7

Base Case $236.73 (+45%)

Market implied 36.7%, PE stable at 31.5

Bear Case $117.76 (-28%)

Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 26.8

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

💡 Upside Surprise Potential

If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 21.7 to 22.0

Stabilization Target: $165.10 (+1.2%)

PE Expansion Potential: +1.2%

Last updated: February 03, 2026 8:06 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:06 PM

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Technical Signals Check

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

Buys

Sells

Net

INSIDERS SELLING

Recent Transactions

Mayur Kapani SELL 10082 shares 2025-10-08

Ro Khanna SELL 2025-09-29

Thomas H. Kean, Jr. BUY 2025-09-25

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