ICE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ICE - Intercontinental Exchange Inc.
$156.93
4.26 (2.79%)
▲
5d:
-0.15%
30d:
-4.39%
90d:
-4.03%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 27, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 07, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ICE shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: ICE shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$254.47
Based on 7.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$158.01
0.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ICE is currently trading at $156.93, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $155.35 to $163.45. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 17.8) compared to its historical average (20.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 23.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ICE is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $152.38. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: ICE has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $197.21 (+29.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ICE is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $152.38. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: ICE has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $197.21 (+29.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$155.35 -
$163.45
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
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View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 29.2% below Wall St target ($197.21)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$155.35 -
$163.45
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$152.38
Resistance Level
$162.87
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.80
Wall Street Target
$197.21
(+29.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
23.4%
Profit Margin
33.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
17.8 vs 20.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$145.49
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$138.66
(-9%)
3-Year Target
$132.14
(-13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→21)
$152.92
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 11.2%)
$264.20
(+73%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.8, Growth: 11.2%)
$209.95
(+38%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.1, Growth: 11.2%)
$178.46
(+17%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (27x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 27.46 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.77
Bull Case
$259.04
(+65%)
Analyst growth 48.6%, PE expands to 30.2
Base Case
$235.49
(+50%)
Market implied 48.6%, PE stable at 27.5
Bear Case
$107.73
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 23.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.8 to 20.6
Stabilization Target:
$176.68
(+15.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+15.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 1:33 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:33 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:33 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ICE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
4
Buys
16
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Andrew J Surdykowski
SELL
4571 shares
2026-02-26
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-02-24
Lynn C Martin
SELL
13456 shares
2026-02-20
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