ICL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ICL - ICL Group Ltd.
$5.35
-0.12 (-2.19%)
▼
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 18, 2026
16d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ICL shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ICL shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$9.95
Based on 12.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$6.18
13.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ICL is currently trading at $5.35, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $5.31 to $5.61. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.2) is in line with its historical norms (12.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 1.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ICL is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $5.21. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: ICL has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $6.22 (+16.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ICL is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $5.21. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: ICL has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $6.22 (+16.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$5.31 -
$5.61
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
88.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($6.22)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$5.31 -
$5.61
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$5.21
Resistance Level
$5.51
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.23
Wall Street Target
$6.23
(+16.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
1.7%
Profit Margin
5.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.2 vs 12.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$5.31
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$5.28
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$5.24
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→13)
$5.35
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 21.8%)
$17.63
(+229%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.2, Growth: 21.8%)
$9.67
(+81%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.4, Growth: 21.8%)
$8.22
(+54%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.86 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.29
Bull Case
$9.07
(+70%)
Analyst growth 50.8%, PE expands to 20.8
Base Case
$8.25
(+54%)
Market implied 50.8%, PE stable at 18.9
Bear Case
$3.72
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.2 to 12.5
Stabilization Target:
$5.47
(+2.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+2.2%
Last updated: February 01, 2026 1:19 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:19 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:19 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ICL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ICL price and gamma walls.
