ICMB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ICMB - Investcorp Credit Management BDC, Inc. Common Stock
$2.99
0.05 (1.68%)
▲
5d:
+6.39%
30d:
+11.13%
90d:
+7.0%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: February 2, 2026
Earnings: Mar 24, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ICMB shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 12.4% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ICMB shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 12.4% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$2.91
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$1.81
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ICMB is currently trading at $2.99, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $2.71 to $2.87. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 14.7) compared to its historical average (10.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 12.4% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ICMB is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $3.05. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: ICMB has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $6.50 (+121.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ICMB is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $3.05. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: ICMB has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $6.50 (+121.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$2.71 -
$2.87
Company Quality Score
60/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
50th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
66.2%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 50th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 121.1% below Wall St target ($6.50)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 12.4% growth with -11.2% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$2.71 -
$2.87
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$0.60
(20.0%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$2.75
Resistance Level
$3.05
Current Trend
Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.70
Wall Street Target
$6.50
(+121.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-11.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-8.6%
Profit Margin
65.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+12.4% premium
PE vs Historical
14.7 vs 10.4
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+12.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$3.30
(+12%)
2-Year Target
$3.71
(+26%)
3-Year Target
$4.17
(+42%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$2.95
(+1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 9.13 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.30
Bull Case
$2.01
(-32%)
Analyst growth -33.3%, PE expands to 10.1
Base Case
$1.83
(-38%)
Market implied -33.3%, PE stable at 9.1
Bear Case
$1.86
(-37%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: February 03, 2026 9:53 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:53 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:53 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ICMB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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