IDN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
IDN - Intellicheck, Inc. Common Stock
$5.68
-0.33 (-5.49%)
▼
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Mar 19, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: IDN shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: IDN shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: IDN is currently trading at $5.68, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $5.99 to $6.60. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 66.8) is in line with its historical norms (70.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IDN is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $5.57. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: IDN has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (19th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $8.00 (+33.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IDN is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $5.57. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: IDN has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (19th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $8.00 (+33.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$5.99 -
$6.60
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
19th percentile
(LOW)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.5%
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View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 19th percentile)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-5.5%)
- BULLISH: Trading 33.1% below Wall St target ($8.00)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -5.5% 5-day decline
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$5.99 -
$6.60
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$0.76
(13.4%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$5.57
Resistance Level
$6.15
Current Trend
Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
66.78
Wall Street Target
$8.00
(+33.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
27.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-54.8%
Profit Margin
0.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
66.8 vs 70.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$5.91
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$5.81
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$5.71
(-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 67→70)
$6.01
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 66.8, Growth: 50.0%)
$20.28
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 50.0%)
$6.77
(+13%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 50.0%)
$5.76
(-4%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (88x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (67x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 87.72 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.06
Bull Case
$6.86
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 92.1
Base Case
$5.68
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 87.7
Bear Case
$4.35
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 79.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 66.8 to 70.3
Stabilization Target:
$6.33
(+5.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+5.3%
Last updated: January 31, 2026 1:13 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:13 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:13 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is IDN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced IDN Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's IDN price and gamma walls.
