IDT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

IDT - IDT Corporation Class B

TELEPHONE COMMUNICATIONS (NO RADIOTELEPHONE)
$48.63
0.51 (1.06%) ▲
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
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Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Mar 05, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: IDT shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$66.44
Based on 5.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$41.25
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.5x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: IDT is currently trading at $48.63, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $48.95 to $51.83. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.6) is in line with its historical norms (13.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, IDT is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $47.08, while resistance sits at $51.28.

Market Sentiment: IDT has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $80.00 (+66.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range $48.95 - $51.83
Company Quality Score 53/100 (HOLD)
Options IV Signal 50th percentile (NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 59.6%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 50th percentile)
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 66.3% below Wall St target ($80.00)

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $48.95 - $51.83
Current vs Fair Value OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$2.48 (5.1%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $47.08
Resistance Level $51.28
Current Trend Downtrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 12.60
Wall Street Target $80.00 (+66.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 2.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -53.8%
Profit Margin 6.2%
Valuation Discount vs History -2.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical 12.6 vs 13.5 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -2.4% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $46.97 (-2%)
2-Year Target $45.84 (-5%)
3-Year Target $44.74 (-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 13→14) $47.95 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.3, Growth: 6.4%) $102.63 (+113%)
Base: (SPY PE: 12.6, Growth: 6.4%) $57.97 (+21%)
Bear: (PE: 10.7, Growth: 6.4%) $49.28 (+2%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.10 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.01
Bull Case $71.87 (+48%)
Analyst growth 26.9%, PE expands to 18.8
Base Case $65.33 (+34%)
Market implied 26.9%, PE stable at 17.1
Bear Case $35.01 (-28%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.6 to 13.5
Stabilization Target: $51.57 (+7.2%)
PE Expansion Potential: +7.2%
Last updated: January 31, 2026 5:28 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:28 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced IDT Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's IDT price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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