INSP Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
INSP - Inspire Medical Systems, Inc.
$46.95
1.49 (3.28%)
▲
5d:
+8.06%
30d:
+15.7%
90d:
-12.47%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 03, 2026
29d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: INSP is 7.9% above its trading range ($43.53). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: INSP is 7.9% above its trading range ($43.53). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$62.38
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$38.74
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: INSP is currently trading at $46.95, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $41.06 to $43.53. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 36.6) is in line with its historical norms (36.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, INSP is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $47.71. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: INSP has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $51.77 (+10.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, INSP is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $47.71. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: INSP has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $51.77 (+10.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$41.06 -
$43.53
Company Quality Score
60/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding INSP? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+7.9% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.3%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($51.77)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.4% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- CAUTION: Extended 7.9% above its trading range - wait for pullback
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$41.06 -
$43.53
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$39.73
Resistance Level
$47.71
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
36.64
Wall Street Target
$51.77
(+10.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
308.4%
Profit Margin
14.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.4% premium
PE vs Historical
36.6 vs 36.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$47.14
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$47.33
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$47.52
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 37→36)
PE COMPRESSION
$46.95
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 36.6, Growth: 41.4%)
$132.79
(+183%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 41.4%)
$78.93
(+68%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 41.4%)
$67.09
(+43%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 10.33 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.40
Bull Case
$25.00
(-47%)
Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 11.4
Base Case
$22.73
(-52%)
Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 10.3
Bear Case
$30.91
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 5:39 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:39 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:39 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is INSP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
John Rondoni
SELL
109 shares
2026-01-09
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Advanced INSP Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's INSP price and gamma walls.
