INVH Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
INVH - Invitation Homes Inc. Common Stock
$26.73
0.38 (1.44%)
▲
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 18, 2026
17d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: INVH shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: INVH shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$19.90
Based on 1.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$12.36
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: INVH is currently trading at $26.73, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $26.56 to $27.63. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 35.1) is in line with its historical norms (36.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 46.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, INVH is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $26.12. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: INVH has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $33.43 (+26.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, INVH is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $26.12. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: INVH has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $33.43 (+26.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$26.56 -
$27.63
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding INVH? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 26.9% below Wall St target ($33.43)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$26.56 -
$27.63
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$26.12
Resistance Level
$27.78
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
35.11
Wall Street Target
$33.43
(+26.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
46.7%
Profit Margin
21.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
35.1 vs 36.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$25.93
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$25.51
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$25.11
(-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 35→37)
$26.32
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 35.1, Growth: -1.6%)
$25.14
(+-5%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: -1.6%)
$15.97
(-39%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: -1.6%)
$13.57
(-49%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 27.59 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.95
Bull Case
$22.78
(-15%)
Analyst growth -21.0%, PE expands to 30.4
Base Case
$20.71
(-23%)
Market implied -21.0%, PE stable at 27.6
Bear Case
$17.82
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 23.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 35.1 to 36.8
Stabilization Target:
$27.62
(+4.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+4.8%
Last updated: January 30, 2026 11:07 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:07 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:07 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is INVH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
BUY
2025-08-04
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Advanced INVH Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's INVH price and gamma walls.
