INVH Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
INVH - Invitation Homes Inc. Common Stock
$24.47
-0.36 (-1.45%)
▼
5d:
+0.33%
30d:
-6.96%
90d:
-10.61%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 27, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 29, 2026
29d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: INVH shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: INVH shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$23.84
Based on 5.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.80
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: INVH is currently trading at $24.47, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $24.87 to $26.32. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 34.2) is in line with its historical norms (35.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 2.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, INVH is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $24.25. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: INVH has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $31.00 (+26.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, INVH is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $24.25. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: INVH has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $31.00 (+26.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$24.87 -
$26.32
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding INVH? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 26.7% below Wall St target ($31.00)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$24.87 -
$26.32
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$24.25
Resistance Level
$25.58
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Mar 27, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
34.17
Wall Street Target
$31.00
(+26.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
2.4%
Profit Margin
21.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
34.2 vs 35.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$24.10
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$23.74
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$23.39
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 34→36)
$24.43
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 34.2, Growth: 7.8%)
$30.68
(+25%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.4, Growth: 7.8%)
$20.11
(-18%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 7.8%)
$17.09
(-30%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 25.41 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.96
Bull Case
$20.01
(-19%)
Analyst growth -25.4%, PE expands to 28.0
Base Case
$18.19
(-27%)
Market implied -25.4%, PE stable at 25.4
Bear Case
$16.59
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 21.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 34.2 to 35.7
Stabilization Target:
$25.56
(+4.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+4.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 8:56 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:56 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:56 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is INVH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
4
Buys
3
Sells
+
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
SELL
2026-02-10
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-01-29
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BUY
2025-12-19
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Advanced INVH Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's INVH price and gamma walls.
