IPI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
IPI - Intrepid Potash, Inc
$43.99
1.91 (4.54%)
▲
5d:
+3.21%
30d:
+21.99%
90d:
+58.64%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 04, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
IPI is down 5.3% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $60 2026-06-18 with 326 OI. Call ratio: 87% View Scanner →
Strength: 6.3/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: IPI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 11.2% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: IPI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 11.2% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$6.33
Based on -15.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$3.93
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: IPI is currently trading at $43.99, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $36.35 to $44.44. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 67.5) compared to its historical average (96.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 11.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IPI is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $37.00, while resistance sits at $47.78. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (23th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $25.00. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IPI is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $37.00, while resistance sits at $47.78. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (23th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $25.00. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range
$36.35 -
$44.44
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
23th percentile
(LOW)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
68.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 23th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.5%)
- BEARISH: Trading 40.6% above Wall St target ($25.00)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$36.35 -
$44.44
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$5.75
(13.1%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$37.00
Resistance Level
$47.78
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Apr 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
67.53
Wall Street Target
$25.00
(-40.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
33.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-81.0%
Profit Margin
4.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-11.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
67.5 vs 96.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-11.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$37.87
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$34.08
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$30.68
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 68→96)
$43.74
(+4%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 67.5, Growth: -34.7%)
$30.68
(+-27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.4, Growth: -34.7%)
$10.15
(-76%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: -34.7%)
$8.63
(-80%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 45.60 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.85
Bull Case
$31.25
(-19%)
Analyst growth -26.7%, PE expands to 50.2
Base Case
$28.41
(-27%)
Market implied -26.7%, PE stable at 45.6
Bear Case
$26.36
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 38.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 67.5 to 96.3
Stabilization Target:
$60.00
(+42.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+42.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 02, 2026 10:47 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:47 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:47 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is IPI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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