IPI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
IPI - Intrepid Potash, Inc
$32.84
-0.81 (-2.41%)
▼
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Mar 02, 2026
28d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: IPI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: IPI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$4.02
Based on -21.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$2.49
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: IPI is currently trading at $32.84, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $28.48 to $33.78. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 53.5) compared to its historical average (159.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 30.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IPI is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $31.65, while resistance sits at $35.77.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (7th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $24.00. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IPI is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $31.65, while resistance sits at $35.77.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (7th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $24.00. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range
$28.48 -
$33.78
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
7th percentile
(COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
64.2%
Protect Your Profits
Holding IPI? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 7th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 26.9% above Wall St target ($24.00)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -6.2% 5-day decline
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$28.48 -
$33.78
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$2.23
(6.8%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$31.65
Resistance Level
$35.78
Current Trend
Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
53.48
Wall Street Target
$24.00
(-26.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-5.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-81.0%
Profit Margin
-87.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-30.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
53.5 vs 159.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-30.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$29.56
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$26.60
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$23.94
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 53→159)
$71.32
(+117%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 53.5, Growth: -46.8%)
$23.94
(+-27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: -46.8%)
$9.98
(-70%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: -46.8%)
$8.49
(-74%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 53.5 to 159.3
Stabilization Target:
$97.83
(+197.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+197.9%
Last updated: February 01, 2026 6:11 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:11 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:11 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is IPI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced IPI Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's IPI price and gamma walls.
