IQ Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
IQ - iQIYI, Inc. American Depositary Shares
$1.35
0.08 (6.56%)
▲
5d:
+10.02%
30d:
-14.35%
90d:
-30.24%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 20, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
IQ is down 3.1% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $1.5 2026-06-18 with 5,286 OI. Call ratio: 100% View Scanner →
Strength: 6.6/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: IQ trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -17.4% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: IQ trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -17.4% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$4.50
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$2.80
51.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 1.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: IQ is currently trading at $1.35, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $1.22 to $1.64. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 1.0) compared to its historical average (1.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 17.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IQ is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $1.39. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 6.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $2.09 (+64.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IQ is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $1.39. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 6.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $2.09 (+64.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$1.22 -
$1.64
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
84.3%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+6.6%)
- BULLISH: Trading 64.9% below Wall St target ($2.09)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$1.22 -
$1.64
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$1.18
Resistance Level
$1.39
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
0.99
Wall Street Target
$2.09
(+64.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-72.3%
Profit Margin
-0.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-17.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
1.0 vs 1.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-17.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$1.14
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$1.03
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$0.93
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 1→2)
$1.69
(+33%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 90.2%)
$96.87
(+7528%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 1.0, Growth: 90.2%)
$4.29
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 0.8, Growth: 90.2%)
$3.64
(+187%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 1.0 to 1.8
Stabilization Target:
$2.31
(+82.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+82.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 31, 2026 11:07 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:07 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:07 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is IQ showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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