IQ Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
IQ - iQIYI, Inc. American Depositary Shares
$2.08
-0.03 (-1.42%)
▼
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 26, 2026
24d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: IQ shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.8% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: IQ shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.8% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$4.20
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$2.61
20.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 2.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: IQ is currently trading at $2.08, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $1.94 to $2.10. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 2.2) is in line with its historical norms (2.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IQ is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $1.88, while resistance sits at $2.19.
Market Sentiment: IQ has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $2.37 (+13.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IQ is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $1.88, while resistance sits at $2.19.
Market Sentiment: IQ has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $2.37 (+13.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range
$1.94 -
$2.10
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
73.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($2.37)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$1.94 -
$2.10
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$1.88
Resistance Level
$2.19
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
2.22
Wall Street Target
$2.37
(+13.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-7.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-72.3%
Profit Margin
-1.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
2.2 vs 2.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$2.04
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$2.01
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$1.97
(-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 2→2)
$2.04
(-2%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 283.4%)
$70.63
(+3296%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 2.2, Growth: 283.4%)
$7.02
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 1.9, Growth: 283.4%)
$5.97
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (2x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 14.45 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.14
Bull Case
$2.51
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 15.2
Base Case
$2.08
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 14.5
Bear Case
$1.59
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 13.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 2.2 to 2.3
Stabilization Target:
$2.16
(+3.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.8%
Last updated: February 01, 2026 11:35 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:35 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:35 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is IQ showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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