IR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
IR - Ingersoll Rand Inc. Common Stock
$76.88
-2.57 (-3.23%)
▼
5d:
-6.57%
30d:
-18.33%
90d:
-5.41%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 07, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
IR is down 4.4% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $95 2026-04-17 with 43 OI. Call ratio: 61% View Scanner →
Strength: 3.2/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: IR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: IR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$128.65
Based on 7.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$79.88
3.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: IR is currently trading at $76.88, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $81.44 to $92.77. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 20.4) compared to its historical average (23.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 18.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IR is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $77.91. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: IR has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $102.73 (+29.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IR is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $77.91. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: IR has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $102.73 (+29.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$81.44 -
$92.77
Company Quality Score
43/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
52.4%
Protect Your Profits
Holding IR? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.2%)
- BULLISH: Trading 29.3% below Wall St target ($102.73)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-6.6%) - monitor closely
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$81.44 -
$92.77
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$77.91
Resistance Level
$84.78
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.39
Wall Street Target
$102.73
(+29.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
18.4%
Profit Margin
7.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
20.4 vs 23.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$75.87
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$72.46
(-9%)
3-Year Target
$69.20
(-13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→23)
$79.42
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 10.3%)
$117.12
(+47%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.4, Growth: 10.3%)
$106.60
(+34%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.3, Growth: 10.3%)
$90.61
(+14%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (23x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (20x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 22.94 | Forward EPS (Implied): $3.59
Bull Case
$99.37
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 24.1
Base Case
$82.29
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 22.9
Bear Case
$62.95
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 20.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 20.4 to 23.4
Stabilization Target:
$91.19
(+14.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+14.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 2:57 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:57 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:57 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is IR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
15
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Vicente Reynal
SELL
118044 shares
2026-03-02
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-02-24
Vikram Kini
SELL
28367 shares
2026-02-20
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