IRDM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
IRDM - Iridium Communications Inc.
$27.18
-0.78 (-2.79%)
βΌ
5d:
+3.35%
30d:
+13.49%
90d:
+57.93%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 27, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 28, 2026
28d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
π‘ BUY OPPORTUNITY: IRDM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 7.8% growth. Moderate conviction.
π‘ BUY OPPORTUNITY: IRDM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 7.8% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$32.12
Based on 7.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$19.94
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: IRDM is currently trading at $27.18, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $23.22 to $26.58. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 21.3) compared to its historical average (17.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 7.8% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IRDM is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $24.18, while resistance sits at $30.25.
Market Sentiment: IRDM has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IRDM is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $24.18, while resistance sits at $30.25.
Market Sentiment: IRDM has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$23.22 -
$26.58
Company Quality Score
63/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($29.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 7.8% growth with None% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$23.22 -
$26.58
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$24.18
Resistance Level
$30.25
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 27, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
21.34
Wall Street Target
$29.00
(+3.7%)
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-24.2%
Profit Margin
13.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+7.8% premium
PE vs Historical
21.3 vs 17.1
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+7.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$30.14
(+8%)
2-Year Target
$32.49
(+16%)
3-Year Target
$35.03
(+25%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21β17)
PE COMPRESSION
$28.06
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 11.0%)
$40.15
(+44%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.3, Growth: 11.0%)
$38.26
(+37%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 11.0%)
$30.65
(+10%)
π
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (24x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (21x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 23.96 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.06
Bull Case
$34.53
(+31%)
Analyst growth 23.6%, PE expands to 26.4
Base Case
$31.39
(+19%)
Market implied 23.6%, PE stable at 24.0
Bear Case
$17.27
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 10:25 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:25 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:25 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is IRDM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Thomas Fitzpatrick
SELL
20839 shares
2025-10-31
Matthew J Desch
BUY
20000 shares
2025-10-30
Robert H Niehaus
BUY
30000 shares
2025-10-28
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