IREN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

IREN - IREN Limited Ordinary Shares

FINANCE SERVICES
$53.74
-6.10 (-10.19%) β–Ό
HOLD
LOW Confidence
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Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 11, 2026 11d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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πŸ’‘
Bottom Line:
πŸ“Š HOLD: IREN trades at premium valuation expecting 21.1% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$22.65
Based on -1.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.07
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: IREN is currently trading at $53.74, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $41.94 to $56.18. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 61.5) compared to its historical average (34.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 21.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, IREN is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $48.83, while resistance sits at $63.59. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 10.2% recently.

Market Sentiment: IREN has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $84.85 (+41.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range $41.94 - $56.18
Company Quality Score 61/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 70.5%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-10.2%)
  • BULLISH: Trading 41.8% below Wall St target ($84.85)
  • NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 21.1% growth which is achievable
  • CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -5.2% 5-day decline

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $41.94 - $56.18
Current vs Fair Value SLIGHTLY HIGH

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $48.83
Resistance Level $63.59
Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 61.48
Wall Street Target $84.85 (+41.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 355.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 42.9%
Profit Margin 76.0%
Valuation Premium vs History +21.1% premium
PE vs Historical 61.5 vs 34.6 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +21.1% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $72.47 (+21%)
2-Year Target $87.76 (+47%)
3-Year Target $106.27 (+78%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 61β†’35) PE COMPRESSION $59.81 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 61.5, Growth: -6.7%) $48.61 (+-19%)
Base: (SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: -6.7%) $17.63 (-71%)
Bear: (PE: 19.0, Growth: -6.7%) $14.99 (-75%)
πŸ“ˆ Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 34.48 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.74
Bull Case $36.92 (-38%)
Analyst growth -44.1%, PE expands to 37.9
Base Case $33.56 (-44%)
Market implied -44.1%, PE stable at 34.5
Bear Case $40.79 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 29.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 30, 2026 3:48 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:48 PM
πŸ”₯ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Daniel John Roberts SELL 1000000 shares 2025-09-11

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Advanced IREN Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's IREN price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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