IRT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
IRT - Independence Realty Trust Inc.
$16.26
-0.16 (-0.97%)
▼
5d:
-3.39%
30d:
-7.61%
90d:
+2.07%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: February 3, 2026
Earnings: Feb 11, 2026
6d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: IRT shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: IRT shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$10.40
Based on 12.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$6.46
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: IRT is currently trading at $16.26, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $16.69 to $17.48. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 69.9) is in line with its historical norms (73.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IRT is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $16.11. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: IRT has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $20.82 (+28.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IRT is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $16.11. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: IRT has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $20.82 (+28.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$16.69 -
$17.48
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 28.1% below Wall St target ($20.82)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$16.69 -
$17.48
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$16.11
Resistance Level
$17.23
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
69.91
Wall Street Target
$20.82
(+28.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-41.0%
Profit Margin
3.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
69.9 vs 73.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$16.00
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$15.74
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$15.49
(-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 70→74)
$16.29
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 69.9, Growth: 21.0%)
$28.82
(+77%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 21.0%)
$9.19
(-44%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 21.0%)
$7.81
(-52%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (83x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (70x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 82.64 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.20
Bull Case
$19.63
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 86.8
Base Case
$16.26
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 82.6
Bear Case
$12.44
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 74.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 69.9 to 73.5
Stabilization Target:
$17.10
(+5.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+5.1%
Last updated: February 04, 2026 9:34 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:34 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:34 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is IRT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Richard D Gebert
SELL
500 shares
2025-10-01
Josh Gottheimer
BUY
2025-09-22
Richard D Gebert
SELL
500 shares
2025-09-02
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