ITRN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ITRN - Ituran Location and Control Ltd.
$44.63
-0.75 (-1.65%)
▼
5d:
+1.43%
30d:
+5.26%
90d:
+16.83%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 25, 2026
22d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
🚀 STRONG BUY: ITRN shows excellent value with unusually cheap options (IV 6th percentile) and market pricing in only 1.3% annual growth despite strong fundamentals. High conviction opportunity.
🚀 STRONG BUY: ITRN shows excellent value with unusually cheap options (IV 6th percentile) and market pricing in only 1.3% annual growth despite strong fundamentals. High conviction opportunity.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$62.78
Based on 7.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$38.98
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ITRN is currently trading at $44.63, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $43.19 to $44.92. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.8) is in line with its historical norms (13.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ITRN is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $45.90. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: ITRN has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (6th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $49.50 (+10.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ITRN is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $45.90. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: ITRN has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (6th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $49.50 (+10.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range
$43.19 -
$44.92
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
6th percentile
(COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.6%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 6th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($49.50)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$43.19 -
$44.92
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$1.61
(3.6%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$43.21
Resistance Level
$45.90
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.77
Wall Street Target
$49.50
(+10.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
7.3%
Profit Margin
16.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.3% premium
PE vs Historical
13.8 vs 13.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$45.21
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$45.80
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$46.39
(+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→13)
PE COMPRESSION
$44.79
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 11.7%)
$100.76
(+126%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.8, Growth: 11.7%)
$62.24
(+40%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.7, Growth: 11.7%)
$52.90
(+19%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.81 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.85
Bull Case
$56.35
(+26%)
Analyst growth 13.7%, PE expands to 17.4
Base Case
$51.23
(+15%)
Market implied 13.7%, PE stable at 15.8
Bear Case
$30.64
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: February 02, 2026 4:33 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:33 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:33 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ITRN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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