IVZ Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

IVZ - Invesco LTD

INVESTMENT ADVICE
$23.25
0.05 (0.22%) ▲
5d: -2.19%
30d: -11.46%
90d: -13.76%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 27, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 28, 2026 28d
Smart Money Accumulation

IVZ is down 3.6% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $31 2026-04-17 with 8,191 OI. Call ratio: 78% View Scanner →

Strength: 4.6/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: IVZ appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -6.6% annual earnings decline despite 450% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$43.46
Based on 8.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$26.99
13.8% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.4x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: IVZ is currently trading at $23.25, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $23.24 to $25.82. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 7.7) compared to its historical average (9.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 450.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, IVZ is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $22.80. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $29.86 (+28.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range $23.24 - $25.82
Company Quality Score 57/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 79.5%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 28.7% below Wall St target ($29.86)

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $23.24 - $25.82
Current vs Fair Value SLIGHTLY LOW

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $22.80
Resistance Level $24.60
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Mar 30, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 7.65
Wall Street Target $29.86 (+28.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 6.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 450.0%
Profit Margin -4.4%
Valuation Discount vs History -6.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical 7.7 vs 9.4 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -6.6% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $21.67 (-7%)
2-Year Target $20.24 (-13%)
3-Year Target $18.90 (-19%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 8→9) $23.23 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.4, Growth: 13.7%) $99.95 (+331%)
Base: (SPY PE: 7.6, Growth: 13.7%) $34.13 (+47%)
Bear: (PE: 6.5, Growth: 13.7%) $29.01 (+25%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.6 to 9.4
Stabilization Target: $28.51 (+22.9%)
PE Expansion Potential: +22.9%
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Last updated: March 30, 2026 1:38 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:38 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr. SELL 2026-02-10
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr. BUY 2026-01-09
Douglas J Sharp SELL 160000 shares 2025-10-31

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Advanced IVZ Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's IVZ price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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