IVZ Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
IVZ - Invesco LTD
$27.29
-0.43 (-1.55%)
▼
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Apr 20, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
IVZ is down 3.9% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $30 2026-04-17 with 42,319 OI. Call ratio: 99% View Scanner →
Strength: 6.9/10
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1 traders called IVZ this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: IVZ shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.5% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: IVZ shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.5% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$47.98
Based on 8.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$29.79
8.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: IVZ is currently trading at $27.29, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $27.02 to $28.78. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 9.1) compared to its historical average (10.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 450.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IVZ is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $26.51. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IVZ is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $26.51. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$27.02 -
$28.78
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($30.27)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$27.02 -
$28.78
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$26.51
Resistance Level
$29.61
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.08
Wall Street Target
$30.27
(+9.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
450.0%
Profit Margin
-4.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.1 vs 10.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$26.47
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$25.28
(-9%)
3-Year Target
$24.14
(-13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→10)
$27.67
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 13.3%)
$99.12
(+258%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.1, Growth: 13.3%)
$40.34
(+46%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.7, Growth: 13.3%)
$34.29
(+24%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.48 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.47
Bull Case
$56.89
(+106%)
Analyst growth 80.7%, PE expands to 21.4
Base Case
$51.72
(+88%)
Market implied 80.7%, PE stable at 19.5
Bear Case
$19.47
(-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.1 to 10.4
Stabilization Target:
$31.76
(+14.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+14.6%
Last updated: January 31, 2026 3:04 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:04 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:04 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is IVZ showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Stephanie Butcher
SELL
103192 shares
2025-09-10
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Advanced IVZ Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's IVZ price and gamma walls.
