JACK Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
JACK - Jack in the Box Inc.
$20.97
0.38 (1.85%)
▲
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 18, 2026
18d
Get Alerted When JACK Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: JACK shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.5% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: JACK shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.5% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$22.10
Based on 3.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$13.72
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 4.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: JACK is currently trading at $20.97, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $19.44 to $22.31. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 5.1) compared to its historical average (4.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.5% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JACK is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $20.14, while resistance sits at $23.70.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JACK is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $20.14, while resistance sits at $23.70.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$19.44 -
$22.31
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
30th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
70.8%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 30th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($21.75)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 3.5% growth with -6.6% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$19.44 -
$22.31
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$2.06
(9.8%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$20.14
Resistance Level
$23.70
Current Trend
Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
5.13
Wall Street Target
$21.75
(+5.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-6.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-73.6%
Profit Margin
-5.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.5% premium
PE vs Historical
5.1 vs 4.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$21.31
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$22.06
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$22.83
(+11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 5→5)
PE COMPRESSION
$20.48
(-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 3.3%)
$98.75
(+380%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 5.1, Growth: 3.3%)
$22.70
(+10%)
Bear:
(PE: 4.4, Growth: 3.3%)
$19.30
(-6%)
Last updated: January 30, 2026 5:37 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:37 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:37 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is JACK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Restaurants Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Restaurants by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
DPZ
Domino's Pizza Inc Commo… |
BUY
31 analysts |
$488 | 62 BUY |
|
YUMC
Yum China Holdings Inc |
STRONG BUY
23 analysts |
$58 | 63 BUY |
|
QSR
Restaurant Brands Intern… |
BUY
31 analysts |
$78 | 55 HOLD |
|
MCD
McDonald’s Corporation |
BUY
36 analysts |
$333 | 64 BUY |
|
DRI
Darden Restaurants Inc |
BUY
31 analysts |
$222 | 58 HOLD |
Advanced JACK Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's JACK price and gamma walls.
