JACK Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
JACK - Jack in the Box Inc.
$9.40
-0.30 (-3.14%)
▼
5d:
-15.82%
30d:
-44.47%
90d:
-54.35%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 13, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
JACK is down 4.2% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $12.5 2026-06-18 with 217 OI. Call ratio: 97% View Scanner →
Strength: 6.8/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: JACK is down 15.8% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: JACK is down 15.8% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$25.15
Based on 8.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$15.61
39.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 4.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: JACK is currently trading at $9.39, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.19 to $16.27. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 2.4) compared to its historical average (4.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 18.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JACK is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $9.52. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $23.76 (+153.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JACK is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $9.52. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $23.76 (+153.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$11.19 -
$16.27
Company Quality Score
41/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
Protect Your Profits
Holding JACK? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.1%)
- BULLISH: Trading 153.0% below Wall St target ($23.76)
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -15.8% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$11.19 -
$16.27
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$9.52
Resistance Level
$13.17
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
2.41
Wall Street Target
$23.76
(+153.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-5.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-73.6%
Profit Margin
-8.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-18.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
2.4 vs 4.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-18.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$8.46
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$7.61
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$6.85
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 2→4)
$12.53
(+33%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 11.9%)
$122.43
(+1203%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 2.4, Growth: 11.9%)
$13.18
(+40%)
Bear:
(PE: 2.0, Growth: 11.9%)
$11.20
(+19%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 2.4 to 4.4
Stabilization Target:
$17.18
(+82.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+82.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 31, 2026 7:05 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:05 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:05 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is JACK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
15
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Lance F Tucker
SELL
3150 shares
2026-01-28
Richard D Cook
SELL
292 shares
2025-12-30
Sarah L Super
SELL
434 shares
2025-12-30
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