JBHT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
JBHT - JB Hunt Transport Services Inc
$202.72
-2.49 (-1.21%)
▼
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Jan 15, 2026
0d
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1 traders called JBHT this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: JBHT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.0% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: JBHT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.0% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$409.31
Based on 13.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$254.15
20.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: JBHT is currently trading at $202.72, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $198.74 to $207.25. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 23.2) compared to its historical average (26.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 24.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JBHT is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $198.01. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JBHT is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $198.01. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$198.74 -
$207.25
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
73.8%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($210.30)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$198.74 -
$207.25
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$9.32
(4.6%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$198.01
Resistance Level
$212.00
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
23.20
Wall Street Target
$210.30
(+2.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-1.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
24.0%
Profit Margin
5.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
23.2 vs 26.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$197.00
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$189.12
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$181.56
(-12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 23→26)
$205.78
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 23.2, Growth: 22.6%)
$377.69
(+84%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 22.6%)
$362.98
(+77%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 22.6%)
$308.53
(+50%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (33x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (23x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 33.10 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.13
Bull Case
$321.96
(+57%)
Analyst growth 44.3%, PE expands to 36.4
Base Case
$292.69
(+43%)
Market implied 44.3%, PE stable at 33.1
Bear Case
$137.96
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 28.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 23.2 to 26.3
Stabilization Target:
$232.59
(+13.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+13.3%
Last updated: January 30, 2026 4:04 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:04 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:04 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is JBHT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Eric Mcgee
BUY
1148 shares
2025-08-04
Ro Khanna
BUY
2025-08-04
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Advanced JBHT Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's JBHT price and gamma walls.
