FDX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FDX - FedEx Corporation
$379.98
10.28 (2.78%)
▲
5d:
+1.08%
30d:
+4.13%
90d:
+2.85%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jun 23, 2026
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1 traders called FDX this week
0% bullish • 2 bearish
0% bullish • 2 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: FDX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.2% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: FDX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.2% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$538.47
Based on 8.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$334.35
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FDX is currently trading at $379.98, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $361.32 to $391.12. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 17.0) is in line with its historical norms (15.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FDX is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $354.14, while resistance sits at $403.85.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FDX is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $354.14, while resistance sits at $403.85.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$361.32 -
$391.12
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
68.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($400.96)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$361.32 -
$391.12
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$354.14
Resistance Level
$403.85
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.99
Wall Street Target
$400.96
(+5.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
17.3%
Profit Margin
4.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.2% premium
PE vs Historical
17.0 vs 15.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$388.34
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$396.88
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$405.61
(+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→16)
PE COMPRESSION
$379.65
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 13.4%)
$719.03
(+89%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.0, Growth: 13.4%)
$554.19
(+46%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.4, Growth: 13.4%)
$471.07
(+24%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.73 | Current EPS (TTM): $18.74
Bull Case
$485.41
(+28%)
Analyst growth 19.4%, PE expands to 21.7
Base Case
$441.28
(+16%)
Market implied 19.4%, PE stable at 19.7
Bear Case
$251.40
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 14, 2026 7:19 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:19 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:19 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FDX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
6
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Tracy B Brightman
SELL
16959 shares
2026-04-15
Susan C Schwab
SELL
5795 shares
2026-04-15
Gina F Adams
SELL
20450 shares
2026-04-14
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