JHG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
JHG - Janus Henderson Group plc Ordinary Shares
$48.13
0.20 (0.42%)
▲
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Jan 30, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: JHG is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.3% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: JHG is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.3% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$63.31
Based on 6.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$39.31
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: JHG is currently trading at $48.13, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $47.67 to $48.03. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.0) is in line with its historical norms (10.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JHG is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $47.56. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JHG is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $47.56. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$47.67 -
$48.03
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
47.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding JHG? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($50.14)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$47.67 -
$48.03
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$47.56
Resistance Level
$48.22
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.99
Wall Street Target
$50.14
(+4.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
441.2%
Profit Margin
20.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.3% premium
PE vs Historical
11.0 vs 10.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$48.55
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$49.18
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$49.82
(+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$48.07
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 9.0%)
$125.84
(+163%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.0, Growth: 9.0%)
$62.00
(+29%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.3, Growth: 9.0%)
$52.70
(+10%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.18 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.39
Bull Case
$68.06
(+42%)
Analyst growth 28.7%, PE expands to 15.6
Base Case
$61.87
(+29%)
Market implied 28.7%, PE stable at 14.2
Bear Case
$32.69
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 30, 2026 5:41 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:41 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:41 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is JHG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Roger Mj Thompson
SELL
27491 shares
2025-09-11
Georgina Fogo
SELL
69000 shares
2025-08-04
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