KEYS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
KEYS - Keysight Technologies, Inc.
$216.33
-4.84 (-2.19%)
ā¼
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 24, 2026
23d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
š HOLD: KEYS shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
š HOLD: KEYS shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$346.94
Based on 9.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$215.42
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 24.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: KEYS is currently trading at $216.33, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $205.98 to $216.26. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 23.8) is in line with its historical norms (24.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KEYS is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $206.49, while resistance sits at $225.00.
Market Sentiment: KEYS has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KEYS is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $206.49, while resistance sits at $225.00.
Market Sentiment: KEYS has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$205.98 -
$216.26
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding KEYS? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($220.00)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$205.98 -
$216.26
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$206.49
Resistance Level
$225.00
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
23.84
Wall Street Target
$220.00
(-0.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-50.5%
Profit Margin
15.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
23.8 vs 24.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$220.51
(0%)
2-Year Target
$219.84
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$219.19
(-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 24ā24)
$221.56
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 23.8, Growth: 14.5%)
$332.38
(+50%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 14.5%)
$310.88
(+41%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 14.5%)
$264.25
(+20%)
š
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (44x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (24x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 44.04 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.03
Bull Case
$449.35
(+108%)
Analyst growth 84.4%, PE expands to 48.4
Base Case
$408.50
(+89%)
Market implied 84.4%, PE stable at 44.0
Bear Case
$150.62
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 37.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
š”
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 23.8 to 24.1
Stabilization Target:
$223.57
(+1.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.1%
Last updated: January 30, 2026 9:43 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:43 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:43 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is KEYS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Lisa M Poole
SELL
142 shares
2025-09-17
Ingrid A Estrada
SELL
2000 shares
2025-09-17
Ro Khanna
SELL
2025-08-26
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Advanced KEYS Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's KEYS price and gamma walls.
