KEYS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
KEYS - Keysight Technologies, Inc.
$267.24
-11.82 (-4.24%)
▼
5d:
-7.52%
30d:
-13.04%
90d:
+29.7%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 19, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
KEYS is down 6.8% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $310 2026-05-15 with 265 OI. Call ratio: 61% View Scanner →
Strength: 4.5/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: KEYS is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.2% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: KEYS is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.2% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$406.09
Based on 9.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$252.15
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: KEYS is currently trading at $267.24, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $259.89 to $304.05. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 27.3) is in line with its historical norms (25.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KEYS is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $268.50. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KEYS is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $268.50. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range
$259.89 -
$304.05
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
56.7%
Protect Your Profits
Holding KEYS? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.2%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($301.54)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-7.5%) - monitor closely
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$259.89 -
$304.05
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$268.50
Resistance Level
$301.99
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
27.26
Wall Street Target
$301.54
(+8.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
23.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
68.0%
Profit Margin
17.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.2% premium
PE vs Historical
27.3 vs 25.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$285.20
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$291.47
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$297.89
(+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 27→26)
PE COMPRESSION
$278.64
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 27.3, Growth: 15.5%)
$430.06
(+54%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.4, Growth: 15.5%)
$353.37
(+27%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 15.5%)
$300.37
(+8%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (49x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (27x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 48.77 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.69
Bull Case
$549.22
(+90%)
Analyst growth 79.9%, PE expands to 53.7
Base Case
$499.29
(+73%)
Market implied 79.9%, PE stable at 48.8
Bear Case
$188.72
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 41.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 3:25 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:25 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:25 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is KEYS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
13
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Jo Ann Juskie
SELL
1000 shares
2026-02-27
Ingrid A Estrada
SELL
2000 shares
2026-02-20
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-02-05
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Advanced KEYS Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's KEYS price and gamma walls.
