KGC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
KGC - Kinross Gold Corporation
$31.56
-5.04 (-13.77%)
▼
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 18, 2026
18d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: KGC is down 15.1% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: KGC is down 15.1% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$63.42
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$39.38
19.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: KGC is currently trading at $31.56, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $29.12 to $35.85. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 13.7) compared to its historical average (12.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KGC is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $32.52. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 13.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KGC is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $32.52. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 13.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$29.12 -
$35.85
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.4%
Protect Your Profits
Holding KGC? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-13.8%)
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($33.10)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.9% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -15.1% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$29.12 -
$35.85
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$32.52
Resistance Level
$39.11
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.71
Wall Street Target
$33.10
(-9.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
25.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
66.0%
Profit Margin
27.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.9% premium
PE vs Historical
13.7 vs 12.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$38.03
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$39.51
(+8%)
3-Year Target
$41.05
(+12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$36.53
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 54.6%)
$200.91
(+449%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.7, Growth: 54.6%)
$123.53
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.7, Growth: 54.6%)
$105.00
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (26x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 26.48 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.43
Bull Case
$77.78
(+113%)
Analyst growth 86.7%, PE expands to 29.1
Base Case
$70.71
(+93%)
Market implied 86.7%, PE stable at 26.5
Bear Case
$25.75
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 22.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 30, 2026 5:38 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:38 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:38 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is KGC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced KGC Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's KGC price and gamma walls.
