KGC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
KGC - Kinross Gold Corporation
$28.60
-0.14 (-0.49%)
▼
5d:
+2.84%
30d:
-22.68%
90d:
-3.7%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 05, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
KGC is down 9.9% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $35 2026-05-15 with 9,104 OI. Call ratio: 67% View Scanner →
Strength: 6.6/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: KGC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: KGC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$52.71
Based on 6.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$32.73
12.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: KGC is currently trading at $28.60, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $28.79 to $35.07. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 8.4) compared to its historical average (11.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 237.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KGC is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $26.05, while resistance sits at $31.95.
Market Sentiment: KGC has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $40.34 (+41.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KGC is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $26.05, while resistance sits at $31.95.
Market Sentiment: KGC has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $40.34 (+41.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$28.79 -
$35.07
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding KGC? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 41.1% below Wall St target ($40.34)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$28.79 -
$35.07
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$26.06
Resistance Level
$31.95
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.39
Wall Street Target
$40.34
(+41.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
42.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
237.9%
Profit Margin
33.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-9.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.4 vs 11.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-9.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$25.80
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$23.27
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$20.99
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→11)
$28.52
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 8.6%)
$97.51
(+241%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.4, Growth: 8.6%)
$36.61
(+28%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.1, Growth: 8.6%)
$31.11
(+9%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.61 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.95
Bull Case
$49.93
(+80%)
Analyst growth 71.0%, PE expands to 15.0
Base Case
$45.39
(+63%)
Market implied 71.0%, PE stable at 13.6
Bear Case
$18.05
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.4 to 11.4
Stabilization Target:
$38.86
(+35.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+35.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 5:57 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:57 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:57 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is KGC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced KGC Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's KGC price and gamma walls.
