KGS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
KGS - Kodiak Gas Services, Inc.
$67.94
-4.46 (-6.16%)
▼
5d:
-8.14%
30d:
+1.12%
90d:
+17.34%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: KGS shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: KGS shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$88.34
Based on 8.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$54.85
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: KGS is currently trading at $67.94, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $66.45 to $72.54. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 22.9) compared to its historical average (20.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.2% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KGS is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $64.82, while resistance sits at $73.03. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 6.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: KGS has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $84.07 (+23.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KGS is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $64.82, while resistance sits at $73.03. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 6.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: KGS has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $84.07 (+23.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$66.45 -
$72.54
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
89.0%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-6.2%)
- BULLISH: Trading 23.7% below Wall St target ($84.07)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 4.2% growth with 4.9% revenue growth
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -8.1% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$66.45 -
$72.54
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$64.82
Resistance Level
$73.03
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
22.90
Wall Street Target
$84.07
(+23.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-39.4%
Profit Margin
5.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.2% premium
PE vs Historical
22.9 vs 20.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$70.79
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$73.77
(+9%)
3-Year Target
$76.87
(+13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 23→20)
PE COMPRESSION
$68.14
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.9, Growth: 12.0%)
$95.42
(+40%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 12.0%)
$90.75
(+34%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 12.0%)
$77.14
(+14%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (32x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (23x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 32.05 | Forward EPS (Implied): $2.12
Bull Case
$82.04
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 33.7
Base Case
$67.94
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 32.1
Bear Case
$51.97
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 28.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 5:04 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:04 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:04 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is KGS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
6
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Pedro R Buhigas
SELL
13942 shares
2026-03-19
Ewan William Hamilton
SELL
5797 shares
2026-03-17
Cory Anne Roclawski
SELL
10852 shares
2026-03-16
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