KGS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
KGS - Kodiak Gas Services, Inc.
$73.49
-0.74 (-1.00%)
▼
5d:
+5.51%
30d:
+18.08%
90d:
+46.16%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 11, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: KGS shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 7.4% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: KGS shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 7.4% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$101.82
Based on 11.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$63.22
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: KGS is currently trading at $73.49, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $61.33 to $71.47. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 24.0) compared to its historical average (19.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 7.4% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KGS is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $66.96, while resistance sits at $76.68.
Market Sentiment: KGS has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KGS is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $66.96, while resistance sits at $76.68.
Market Sentiment: KGS has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$61.33 -
$71.47
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($73.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 7.4% growth with 4.9% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$61.33 -
$71.47
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$66.96
Resistance Level
$76.68
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
23.97
Wall Street Target
$73.00
(-1.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-39.4%
Profit Margin
5.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+7.4% premium
PE vs Historical
24.0 vs 19.4
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+7.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$79.72
(+7%)
2-Year Target
$85.62
(+15%)
3-Year Target
$91.96
(+24%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 24→19)
PE COMPRESSION
$74.41
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 24.0, Growth: 18.5%)
$123.64
(+67%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.0, Growth: 18.5%)
$113.66
(+53%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.7, Growth: 18.5%)
$96.61
(+30%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (28x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (24x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 27.78 | Forward EPS (Implied): $2.67
Bull Case
$89.63
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 29.2
Base Case
$74.23
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 27.8
Bear Case
$56.79
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 25.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 15, 2026 4:53 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:53 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:53 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is KGS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
6
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Pedro R Buhigas
SELL
13942 shares
2026-03-19
Ewan William Hamilton
SELL
5797 shares
2026-03-17
Cory Anne Roclawski
SELL
10852 shares
2026-03-16
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