KHC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

KHC - The Kraft Heinz Company Common Stock

CANNED, FROZEN & PRESERVD FRUIT, VEG & FOOD SPECIALTIES
$22.34
0.30 (1.36%) ▲
5d: +5.33%
30d: -9.22%
90d: -7.42%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Protect Your KHC Gains
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 05, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation

KHC is down 5.1% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $25 2026-03-20 with 15,474 OI. Call ratio: 62% View Scanner →

Strength: 3.7/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: KHC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$27.08
Based on 4.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$16.82
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.1x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: KHC is currently trading at $22.34, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $21.98 to $24.45. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.4) is in line with its historical norms (10.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.1% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, KHC is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $21.04, while resistance sits at $23.12.

Market Sentiment: KHC has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $24.66 (+10.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range $21.98 - $24.45
Company Quality Score 54/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 58.1%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($24.66)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.1% growth with -3.4% revenue growth

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $21.98 - $24.45
Current vs Fair Value SLIGHTLY LOW

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $21.04
Resistance Level $23.12
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Mar 30, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 10.43
Wall Street Target $24.66 (+10.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -3.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -69.2%
Profit Margin -23.4%
Valuation Premium vs History +1.1% premium
PE vs Historical 10.4 vs 10.1 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +1.1% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $22.59 (+1%)
2-Year Target $22.83 (+2%)
3-Year Target $23.09 (+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 10→10) PE COMPRESSION $22.35 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.4, Growth: 5.2%) $55.77 (+150%)
Base: (SPY PE: 10.4, Growth: 5.2%) $26.03 (+17%)
Bear: (PE: 8.9, Growth: 5.2%) $22.13 (-1%)
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Last updated: March 30, 2026 6:17 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:17 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
7
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Cory Onell SELL 4991 shares 2026-03-03
Cory Onell SELL 9045 shares 2026-03-02
Ro Khanna SELL 2026-01-29

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Advanced KHC Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's KHC price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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