KHC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

KHC - The Kraft Heinz Company Common Stock

CANNED, FROZEN & PRESERVD FRUIT, VEG & FOOD SPECIALTIES
$23.74
0.60 (2.59%) ▲
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 11, 2026 11d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: KHC shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.2% decline. Moderate conviction.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$25.59
Based on 1.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$15.89
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.6x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: KHC is currently trading at $23.74, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $23.15 to $24.17. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.3) is in line with its historical norms (9.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, KHC is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $23.93. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $26.50 (+14.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Fair Price Range $23.15 - $24.17
Company Quality Score 62/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 70.0%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($26.50)

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $23.15 - $24.17
Current vs Fair Value FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $21.99
Resistance Level $23.94
Current Trend Strong Downtrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 9.27
Wall Street Target $26.50 (+14.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -2.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -10.6%
Profit Margin -17.3%
Valuation Discount vs History -1.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical 9.3 vs 9.6 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -1.2% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $22.86 (-1%)
2-Year Target $22.59 (-2%)
3-Year Target $22.32 (-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 9→10) $23.10 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.3, Growth: -1.3%) $53.57 (+132%)
Base: (SPY PE: 9.3, Growth: -1.3%) $22.28 (-4%)
Bear: (PE: 7.9, Growth: -1.3%) $18.94 (-18%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.3 to 9.6
Stabilization Target: $23.95 (+3.5%)
PE Expansion Potential: +3.5%
Last updated: January 30, 2026 5:38 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:38 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
1
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna SELL 2025-08-26
Ro Khanna BUY 2025-08-04

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Advanced KHC Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's KHC price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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