KHC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
KHC - The Kraft Heinz Company Common Stock
$23.74
0.60 (2.59%)
▲
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 11, 2026
11d
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5 traders called KHC this week
90% bullish • 1 bearish
90% bullish • 1 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: KHC shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.2% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: KHC shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.2% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$25.59
Based on 1.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$15.89
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: KHC is currently trading at $23.74, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $23.15 to $24.17. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.3) is in line with its historical norms (9.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KHC is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $23.93. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $26.50 (+14.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KHC is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $23.93. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $26.50 (+14.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$23.15 -
$24.17
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
70.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($26.50)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$23.15 -
$24.17
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$21.99
Resistance Level
$23.94
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.27
Wall Street Target
$26.50
(+14.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-2.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-10.6%
Profit Margin
-17.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.3 vs 9.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$22.86
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$22.59
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$22.32
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→10)
$23.10
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: -1.3%)
$53.57
(+132%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.3, Growth: -1.3%)
$22.28
(-4%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.9, Growth: -1.3%)
$18.94
(-18%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.3 to 9.6
Stabilization Target:
$23.95
(+3.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.5%
Last updated: January 30, 2026 5:38 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:38 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:38 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is KHC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
1
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2025-08-26
Ro Khanna
BUY
2025-08-04
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Advanced KHC Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's KHC price and gamma walls.