KLAC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
KLAC - KLA Corporation Common Stock
$1427.94
-256.77 (-15.24%)
▼
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Jan 29, 2026
0d
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6 traders called KLAC this week
62% bullish • 3 bearish
62% bullish • 3 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: KLAC is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.2% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: KLAC is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.2% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$2076.71
Based on 13.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$1289.48
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: KLAC is currently trading at $1427.94, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $1286.14 to $1547.09. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 38.0) is in line with its historical norms (34.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KLAC is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $1451.82. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 15.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: KLAC has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $1513.07. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KLAC is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $1451.82. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 15.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: KLAC has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $1513.07. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$1286.14 -
$1547.09
Company Quality Score
65/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
70.0%
Protect Your Profits
Holding KLAC? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-15.2%)
- BEARISH: Trading 10.2% above Wall St target ($1513.07)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -5.6% 5-day decline
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$1286.14 -
$1547.09
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$1451.82
Resistance Level
$1693.35
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
37.95
Wall Street Target
$1513.07
(-10.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
13.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
20.8%
Profit Margin
33.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.2% premium
PE vs Historical
38.0 vs 34.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$1738.62
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$1794.26
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$1851.67
(+10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 38→35)
PE COMPRESSION
$1688.37
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 37.9, Growth: 23.1%)
$3141.69
(+87%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 23.1%)
$1846.27
(+10%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 23.1%)
$1569.33
(-7%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (51x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (38x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 51.11 | Current EPS (TTM): $31.84
Bull Case
$2495.82
(+75%)
Analyst growth 39.4%, PE expands to 56.2
Base Case
$2268.93
(+59%)
Market implied 39.4%, PE stable at 51.1
Bear Case
$1106.50
(-23%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 43.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 31, 2026 3:47 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:47 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:47 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is KLAC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Val T. Hoyle
SELL
2025-09-23
Ahmad A Khan
SELL
13716 shares
2025-08-29
Brian Lorig
SELL
8049 shares
2025-08-12
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