KMDA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
KMDA - Kamada Ltd
$7.17
-0.11 (-1.46%)
▼
5d:
-4.61%
30d:
-0.92%
90d:
-15.31%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 9, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 12, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: KMDA trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -7.4% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: KMDA trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -7.4% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$17.80
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$11.05
35.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: KMDA is currently trading at $7.17, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $7.20 to $7.48. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 11.9) compared to its historical average (14.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KMDA is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $7.05. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $13.00 (+78.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KMDA is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $7.05. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $13.00 (+78.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$7.20 -
$7.48
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 78.6% below Wall St target ($13.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$7.20 -
$7.48
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$7.05
Resistance Level
$7.71
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.87
Wall Street Target
$13.00
(+78.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.8%
Profit Margin
11.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.9 vs 14.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$6.74
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$6.24
(-14%)
3-Year Target
$5.78
(-21%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→15)
$7.26
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 43.5%)
$39.44
(+442%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.9, Growth: 43.5%)
$21.50
(+195%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.1, Growth: 43.5%)
$18.27
(+151%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.89 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.35
Bull Case
$14.09
(+94%)
Analyst growth 75.2%, PE expands to 23.0
Base Case
$12.81
(+76%)
Market implied 75.2%, PE stable at 20.9
Bear Case
$4.97
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.9 to 14.9
Stabilization Target:
$9.14
(+25.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+25.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 09, 2026 2:58 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:58 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:58 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is KMDA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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