KNX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
KNX - Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc. Class A Common Stock
$58.60
1.02 (1.77%)
▲
5d:
+5.57%
30d:
-7.72%
90d:
+12.09%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 22, 2026
18d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: KNX trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -3.5% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: KNX trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -3.5% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$126.99
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$78.85
25.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: KNX is currently trading at $58.60, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $53.61 to $60.43. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 19.8) compared to its historical average (22.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KNX is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $59.29. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: KNX has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KNX is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $59.29. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: KNX has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$53.61 -
$60.43
Company Quality Score
64/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
78.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($64.47)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$53.61 -
$60.43
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$52.38
Resistance Level
$59.29
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Apr 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.77
Wall Street Target
$64.47
(+10.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-74.3%
Profit Margin
0.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
19.8 vs 22.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$56.55
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$54.57
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$52.66
(-10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→22)
$58.60
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.6, Growth: 56.2%)
$205.79
(+251%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.8, Growth: 56.2%)
$197.78
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.8, Growth: 56.2%)
$168.11
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (29x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (20x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 29.41 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.84
Bull Case
$65.41
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 30.9
Base Case
$54.17
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 29.4
Bear Case
$41.44
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 26.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 19.8 to 22.0
Stabilization Target:
$65.21
(+11.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+11.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 03, 2026 2:22 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:22 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:22 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is KNX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
7
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Joshua Smith
SELL
5770 shares
2026-02-26
Kevin P Knight
SELL
30000 shares
2026-02-20
James L Fitzsimmons
SELL
5917 shares
2026-02-04
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