KNX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
KNX - Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc. Class A Common Stock
$55.10
-0.72 (-1.29%)
▼
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Apr 21, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: KNX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 8.5% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: KNX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 8.5% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$141.74
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$88.01
37.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 24.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: KNX is currently trading at $55.10, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $53.51 to $57.23. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 18.9) compared to its historical average (24.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KNX is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $54.56. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $63.11 (+13.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KNX is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $54.56. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $63.11 (+13.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$53.51 -
$57.23
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
70.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($63.11)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$53.51 -
$57.23
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$54.56
Resistance Level
$59.89
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.94
Wall Street Target
$63.11
(+13.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-74.3%
Profit Margin
0.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
18.9 vs 24.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$51.08
(-9%)
2-Year Target
$46.73
(-16%)
3-Year Target
$42.76
(-23%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→25)
$55.76
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 54.8%)
$221.78
(+297%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.9, Growth: 54.8%)
$188.39
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.1, Growth: 54.8%)
$160.13
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (30x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 30.49 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.83
Bull Case
$67.40
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 32.0
Base Case
$55.82
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 30.5
Bear Case
$42.70
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 27.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 18.9 to 24.7
Stabilization Target:
$72.78
(+30.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+30.4%
Last updated: January 30, 2026 4:13 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:13 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:13 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is KNX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Michael K Liu
SELL
3420 shares
2025-09-03
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