KRMN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
KRMN - Karman Holdings Inc.
$103.80
-7.13 (-6.43%)
▼
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Mar 31, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: KRMN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.8% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: KRMN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.8% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$31.87
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$19.79
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: KRMN is currently trading at $103.80, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $82.53 to $111.27. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 158.6) is in line with its historical norms (146.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KRMN is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $97.85, while resistance sits at $118.38. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 6.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KRMN is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $97.85, while resistance sits at $118.38. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 6.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$82.53 -
$111.27
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
63.8%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-6.4%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($111.89)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.8% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$82.53 -
$111.27
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$97.85
Resistance Level
$118.38
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
158.57
Wall Street Target
$111.89
(+7.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
41.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
124.4%
Profit Margin
2.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.8% premium
PE vs Historical
158.6 vs 146.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$106.71
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$109.69
(+6%)
3-Year Target
$112.77
(+9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 159→146)
PE COMPRESSION
$103.90
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 158.6, Growth: 79.7%)
$350.32
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 79.7%)
$49.27
(-53%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 79.7%)
$41.88
(-60%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (196x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (159x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 196.08 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.53
Bull Case
$125.34
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 205.9
Base Case
$103.80
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 196.1
Bear Case
$79.41
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 176.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: February 01, 2026 8:08 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:08 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:08 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is KRMN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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KRMN is a key holding in these high-performance investment strategies.
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