KRNY Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
KRNY - Kearny Financial Corporation
$9.37
-0.17 (-1.78%)
▼
5d:
+2.74%
30d:
+14.13%
90d:
+22.16%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 23, 2026
18d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: KRNY trades at premium valuation expecting 8.3% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: KRNY trades at premium valuation expecting 8.3% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$14.37
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$8.92
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: KRNY is currently trading at $9.37, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $8.11 to $8.76. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 11.9) compared to its historical average (9.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 8.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KRNY is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $8.53. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: KRNY has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KRNY is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $8.53. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: KRNY has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$8.11 -
$8.76
Company Quality Score
65/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
51.4%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+7.0% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($9.50)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 8.3% growth which is achievable
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$8.11 -
$8.76
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$7.98
Resistance Level
$8.53
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.94
Wall Street Target
$9.50
(+1.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
17.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
50.5%
Profit Margin
21.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+8.3% premium
PE vs Historical
11.9 vs 9.4
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+8.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$10.15
(+8%)
2-Year Target
$10.99
(+17%)
3-Year Target
$11.90
(+27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→9)
PE COMPRESSION
$9.37
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 26.6%)
$34.70
(+270%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.9, Growth: 26.6%)
$19.02
(+103%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.4, Growth: 26.6%)
$14.98
(+60%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.74 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.57
Bull Case
$14.45
(+54%)
Analyst growth 37.7%, PE expands to 18.4
Base Case
$13.14
(+40%)
Market implied 37.7%, PE stable at 16.7
Bear Case
$6.49
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 7:56 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:56 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:56 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
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Technical Signals Check
Is KRNY showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Timothy A Swansson
SELL
4000 shares
2026-03-10
Patrick M Joyce
SELL
4000 shares
2026-01-28
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