KRNY Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
KRNY - Kearny Financial Corporation
$7.88
-0.11 (-1.38%)
▼
5d:
-3.43%
30d:
-0.51%
90d:
-2.48%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 23, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: KRNY shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: KRNY shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$13.76
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$8.54
7.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: KRNY is currently trading at $7.88, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $7.90 to $8.13. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 10.0) compared to its historical average (9.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KRNY is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $7.76. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $9.00 (+14.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KRNY is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $7.76. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $9.00 (+14.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$7.90 -
$8.13
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
78.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($9.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.8% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$7.90 -
$8.13
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$7.77
Resistance Level
$8.20
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.04
Wall Street Target
$9.00
(+14.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
17.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
50.5%
Profit Margin
21.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.8% premium
PE vs Historical
10.0 vs 9.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$8.18
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$8.49
(+8%)
3-Year Target
$8.81
(+12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→9)
PE COMPRESSION
$7.90
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 26.6%)
$35.16
(+346%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.0, Growth: 26.6%)
$15.99
(+103%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.5, Growth: 26.6%)
$13.59
(+73%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.02 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.57
Bull Case
$12.10
(+54%)
Analyst growth 37.7%, PE expands to 15.4
Base Case
$11.00
(+40%)
Market implied 37.7%, PE stable at 14.0
Bear Case
$5.43
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 16, 2026 1:09 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:09 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:09 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is KRNY showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Timothy A Swansson
SELL
4000 shares
2026-03-10
Patrick M Joyce
SELL
4000 shares
2026-01-28
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