KRT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
KRT - Karat Packaging Inc. Common Stock
$27.92
0.42 (1.53%)
▲
5d:
-0.89%
30d:
+13.94%
90d:
+22.24%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 14, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: KRT shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: KRT shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$48.13
Based on 8.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$29.88
6.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: KRT is currently trading at $27.92, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $23.57 to $27.69. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 12.2) compared to its historical average (14.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 21.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KRT is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $28.52. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: KRT has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KRT is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $28.52. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: KRT has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$23.57 -
$27.69
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($29.50)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$23.57 -
$27.69
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$26.71
Resistance Level
$28.52
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.25
Wall Street Target
$29.50
(+5.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
13.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
21.2%
Profit Margin
6.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.3 vs 14.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$26.66
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$25.46
(-9%)
3-Year Target
$24.32
(-13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→14)
$28.00
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 12.9%)
$73.28
(+163%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.2, Growth: 12.9%)
$40.15
(+44%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.4, Growth: 12.9%)
$34.13
(+22%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.31 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.56
Bull Case
$43.42
(+57%)
Analyst growth 46.2%, PE expands to 19.1
Base Case
$39.48
(+43%)
Market implied 46.2%, PE stable at 17.3
Bear Case
$18.37
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.2 to 14.1
Stabilization Target:
$32.15
(+15.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+15.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 31, 2026 8:16 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:16 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:16 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is KRT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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