KRT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
KRT - Karat Packaging Inc. Common Stock
$24.47
0.47 (1.96%)
▲
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Mar 12, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: KRT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.7% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: KRT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.7% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$31.28
Based on 5.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$19.42
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: KRT is currently trading at $24.47, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $23.00 to $24.76. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.4) is in line with its historical norms (14.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.7% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KRT is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $25.14. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $28.50 (+18.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KRT is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $25.14. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $28.50 (+18.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range
$23.00 -
$24.76
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
66.2%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($28.50)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.7% growth with 10.4% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$23.00 -
$24.76
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$23.57
Resistance Level
$25.14
Current Trend
Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.37
Wall Street Target
$28.50
(+18.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-20.0%
Profit Margin
6.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.7% premium
PE vs Historical
14.4 vs 14.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$24.17
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$24.34
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$24.51
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→14)
PE COMPRESSION
$24.04
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 7.7%)
$46.58
(+94%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.4, Growth: 7.7%)
$30.02
(+25%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.2, Growth: 7.7%)
$25.51
(+6%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.91 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.50
Bull Case
$29.23
(+20%)
Analyst growth 11.3%, PE expands to 17.5
Base Case
$26.58
(+9%)
Market implied 11.3%, PE stable at 15.9
Bear Case
$16.23
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 31, 2026 2:01 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:01 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:01 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is KRT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced KRT Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's KRT price and gamma walls.
