KSPI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
KSPI - Joint Stock Company Kaspi.kz American Depository Shares
$89.82
1.48 (1.68%)
▲
5d:
+3.42%
30d:
+1.33%
90d:
+22.32%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: KSPI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.3% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: KSPI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.3% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$215011.43
Based on 10.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$133505.18
99.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: KSPI is currently trading at $89.82, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $81.43 to $89.89. Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KSPI is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $77.42, while resistance sits at $94.79.
Market Sentiment: KSPI has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KSPI is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $77.42, while resistance sits at $94.79.
Market Sentiment: KSPI has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$81.43 -
$89.89
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
71.4%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($98.28)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$81.43 -
$89.89
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$77.42
Resistance Level
$94.79
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
0.01
Wall Street Target
$98.28
(+9.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
31.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-1.0%
Profit Margin
24.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.3% cheaper
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$85.06
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$80.55
(-10%)
3-Year Target
$76.28
(-15%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 16.1%)
$228065.22
(+253814%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 0.0, Growth: 16.1%)
$140.69
(+57%)
Bear:
(PE: 0.0, Growth: 16.1%)
$119.58
(+33%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (8x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (0x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 7.92 | Current EPS (TTM): $11.15
Bull Case
$194.35
(+116%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 8.7
Base Case
$176.68
(+97%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 7.9
Bear Case
$60.07
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 6.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 12:35 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:35 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:35 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is KSPI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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