KYIV Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
KYIV - Kyivstar Group Ltd. Common Shares
$11.35
-0.70 (-5.81%)
▼
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Mar 16, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: KYIV shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: KYIV shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$19.29
Based on 7.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$11.98
5.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: KYIV is currently trading at $11.35, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $12.11 to $13.23. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.0) is in line with its historical norms (8.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KYIV is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $10.91, while resistance sits at $13.49. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: KYIV has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.24 (+43.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KYIV is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $10.91, while resistance sits at $13.49. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: KYIV has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.24 (+43.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$12.11 -
$13.23
Company Quality Score
34/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
52.4%
Protect Your Profits
Holding KYIV? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-5.8%)
- BULLISH: Trading 43.1% below Wall St target ($17.24)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-7.8%) - monitor closely
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$12.11 -
$13.23
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$10.91
Resistance Level
$13.49
Current Trend
Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.03
Wall Street Target
$17.24
(+43.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
20.9%
Profit Margin
29.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.0 vs 8.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$11.71
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$11.38
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$11.07
(-8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→9)
$12.13
(+1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 11.8%)
$46.83
(+289%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.0, Growth: 11.8%)
$16.86
(+40%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.8, Growth: 11.8%)
$14.33
(+19%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (10x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 10.02 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.30
Bull Case
$16.54
(+46%)
Analyst growth 15.5%, PE expands to 11.0
Base Case
$15.03
(+33%)
Market implied 15.5%, PE stable at 10.0
Bear Case
$8.85
(-22%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.0 to 8.8
Stabilization Target:
$13.21
(+9.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+9.6%
Last updated: January 31, 2026 2:58 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:58 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:58 PM
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