LADR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LADR - LADDER CAPITAL CORP
$10.97
-0.19 (-1.70%)
▼
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 05, 2026
5d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: LADR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.3% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: LADR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.3% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$18.82
Based on 11.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$11.68
6.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LADR is currently trading at $10.97, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.92 to $11.27. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.1) is in line with its historical norms (10.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.3% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LADR is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $10.83. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: LADR has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (8th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.50 (+12.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LADR is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $10.83. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: LADR has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (8th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.50 (+12.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$10.92 -
$11.27
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
8th percentile
(LOW)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
66.2%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 8th percentile)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($12.50)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.3% growth with -15.2% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$10.92 -
$11.27
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$0.44
(4.0%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$10.83
Resistance Level
$11.37
Current Trend
Sideways
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.12
Wall Street Target
$12.50
(+12.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-15.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-31.8%
Profit Margin
34.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.3% premium
PE vs Historical
10.1 vs 10.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$11.19
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$11.23
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$11.26
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$11.13
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 18.8%)
$41.25
(+270%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.1, Growth: 18.8%)
$18.72
(+68%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.6, Growth: 18.8%)
$15.91
(+43%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.68 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.63
Bull Case
$21.45
(+92%)
Analyst growth 75.1%, PE expands to 19.5
Base Case
$19.50
(+75%)
Market implied 75.1%, PE stable at 17.7
Bear Case
$7.58
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 30, 2026 5:39 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:39 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:39 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LADR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Anthony Vincent Esposito
BUY
59 shares
2025-10-15
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Advanced LADR Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's LADR price and gamma walls.
