LAZ Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LAZ - Lazard, Inc.
$53.72
-0.07 (-0.13%)
▼
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Jan 29, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: LAZ shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.5% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: LAZ shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.5% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$94.77
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$58.84
8.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LAZ is currently trading at $53.72, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $49.85 to $52.92. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 14.8) compared to its historical average (13.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.5% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LAZ is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $50.96, while resistance sits at $55.79.
Market Sentiment: LAZ has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LAZ is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $50.96, while resistance sits at $55.79.
Market Sentiment: LAZ has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$49.85 -
$52.92
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($58.12)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 3.5% growth with -5.6% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$49.85 -
$52.92
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$50.96
Resistance Level
$55.79
Current Trend
Sideways
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.81
Wall Street Target
$58.13
(+8.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-5.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-36.4%
Profit Margin
9.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.5% premium
PE vs Historical
14.8 vs 13.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$55.67
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$57.62
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$59.64
(+11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→13)
PE COMPRESSION
$53.96
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 52.6%)
$273.33
(+408%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.8, Growth: 52.6%)
$181.54
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.6, Growth: 52.6%)
$154.31
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.94 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.52
Bull Case
$83.65
(+56%)
Analyst growth 44.1%, PE expands to 23.0
Base Case
$76.05
(+41%)
Market implied 44.1%, PE stable at 20.9
Bear Case
$35.88
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 30, 2026 5:38 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:38 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:38 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LAZ showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Peter Richard Orszag
SELL
32475 shares
2025-09-16
Evan L Russo
SELL
50000 shares
2025-09-11
Evan L Russo
SELL
25000 shares
2025-09-10
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Advanced LAZ Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's LAZ price and gamma walls.
