LAZ Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LAZ - Lazard, Inc.
$41.48
-0.49 (-1.17%)
▼
5d:
+0.56%
30d:
-14.28%
90d:
-14.58%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 24, 2026
21d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: LAZ trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -9.3% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: LAZ trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -9.3% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$109.83
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$68.19
39.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LAZ is currently trading at $41.48, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $39.46 to $48.26. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 8.6) compared to its historical average (11.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LAZ is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $38.85, while resistance sits at $43.35.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $57.56 (+37.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LAZ is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $38.85, while resistance sits at $43.35.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $57.56 (+37.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$39.46 -
$48.26
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 37.1% below Wall St target ($57.56)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$39.46 -
$48.26
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$38.85
Resistance Level
$43.36
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Apr 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.63
Wall Street Target
$57.56
(+37.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-43.3%
Profit Margin
7.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-9.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.6 vs 11.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-9.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$38.07
(-9%)
2-Year Target
$34.53
(-18%)
3-Year Target
$31.32
(-25%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→12)
$42.08
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 34.2%)
$262.51
(+526%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.6, Growth: 34.2%)
$101.39
(+142%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.3, Growth: 34.2%)
$86.18
(+105%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.09 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.17
Bull Case
$86.35
(+115%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 19.9
Base Case
$78.50
(+96%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 18.1
Bear Case
$26.69
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.6 to 11.6
Stabilization Target:
$56.40
(+34.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+34.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 02, 2026 3:48 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:48 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:48 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
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Technical Signals Check
Is LAZ showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Peter Richard Orszag
SELL
69170 shares
2026-03-17
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