LCNB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LCNB - LCNB Corporation
$15.66
-0.40 (-2.49%)
▼
5d:
-4.22%
30d:
-5.41%
90d:
-9.38%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 22, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: LCNB shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: LCNB shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$22.81
Based on 6.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.16
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LCNB is currently trading at $15.66, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $15.97 to $16.86. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.7) is in line with its historical norms (9.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LCNB is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $15.50. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: LCNB has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.50 (+11.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LCNB is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $15.50. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: LCNB has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.50 (+11.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$15.97 -
$16.86
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
54.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($17.50)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$15.97 -
$16.86
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$15.50
Resistance Level
$16.50
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.65
Wall Street Target
$17.50
(+11.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-4.9%
Profit Margin
25.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.7 vs 9.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$15.25
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$14.86
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$14.47
(-8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→9)
$15.72
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 8.1%)
$50.40
(+222%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.7, Growth: 8.1%)
$19.76
(+26%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.4, Growth: 8.1%)
$16.80
(+7%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (10x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 9.98 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.61
Bull Case
$19.86
(+27%)
Analyst growth 12.4%, PE expands to 11.0
Base Case
$18.06
(+15%)
Market implied 12.4%, PE stable at 10.0
Bear Case
$10.92
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.7 to 9.4
Stabilization Target:
$17.01
(+8.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+8.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 16, 2026 3:52 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:52 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:52 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LCNB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
1
Sells
0
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Michael Robert Miller
SELL
2759 shares
2026-02-04
Eric J Meilstrup
BUY
500 shares
2025-11-19
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