LCNB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LCNB - LCNB Corporation
$17.89
-0.31 (-1.70%)
▼
5d:
+1.25%
30d:
+8.03%
90d:
+12.66%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 28, 2026
24d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: LCNB shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.8% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: LCNB shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.8% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$22.81
Based on 6.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.16
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LCNB is currently trading at $17.89, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $16.63 to $17.71. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.9) is in line with its historical norms (9.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.8% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LCNB is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $17.20. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: LCNB has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LCNB is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $17.20. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: LCNB has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$16.63 -
$17.71
Company Quality Score
64/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($17.50)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.8% growth with -0.6% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$16.63 -
$17.71
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$15.95
Resistance Level
$17.20
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.88
Wall Street Target
$17.50
(-2.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-4.9%
Profit Margin
25.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.8% premium
PE vs Historical
9.9 vs 9.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$18.21
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$18.54
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$18.87
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→9)
PE COMPRESSION
$17.95
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 8.1%)
$49.74
(+178%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.9, Growth: 8.1%)
$22.57
(+26%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.4, Growth: 8.1%)
$19.19
(+7%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.30 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.61
Bull Case
$22.51
(+26%)
Analyst growth 12.4%, PE expands to 12.4
Base Case
$20.46
(+14%)
Market implied 12.4%, PE stable at 11.3
Bear Case
$12.38
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 5:04 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:04 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:04 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LCNB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Michael Robert Miller
SELL
2759 shares
2026-02-04
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